2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Kellyanne Conway is on FOX News saying that Trump will be talking about downballot Republican gains.  That certainly sounds like trying to put a positive spin on it.  I doubt he will concede, but that does not seem like a president that still believes he will win.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/nancook/status/1324484295478648832?s=21

[Brittain33]

Cameron and La Salle Parishes in LA voted >90% R for the first time ever.

How many voters can even be left in Cameron Parish? That place is not fit for humans to live in any more.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Wtf’s happening in Arizona?

What's left of the heavy red rurals is coming in. Heavy blue counties haven't updated yet, which will counteract those votes and more.

That's not it. Even the "heavy blue counties" have had late ballots with a marked shift towards Trump. The last batch from Coconino was 50-46 Biden when Coconino overall is 63-35 Biden. If the 2nd bluest of the remaining counties is only putting Biden 4 points ahead then it's safe to say most of the remainder are going to favour Trump.

Arizona might not flip but it'll be quite close. Fox will be thanking their lucky stars if Biden holds on.

[Rand]

CNN:

Biden has flipped Erie with 3,000 votes yet to count (Biden is winning VBM ballots there by 4:1)! They're going to update the map soon.

ERIE JOE

Let me fix that for you.

E R I E
J O E

[Roronoa D. Law]

Cumberland County dumped....Biden only lost here by 10. Pretty impressive.

It's trending Democratic. If I'm correct there is a spillover of government workers from Harrisburg moving there.

Which would be pretty rare for Pennsylvania as of late, correct? (A Republican county trending Democratic -- only Chester comes to mind in that regard).  

Lancaster and Berks too, I think. South-Central PA seems to be inching leftward. Although calling Chester Republican at this point is pretty bold!

Berks isn't trending D it went from Romney +1 to Trump +10, probably gonna shift with the state this year. Gonna be cool to the shift within it, the actual main city probably swung towards Trump.

It's a county Democrats had hopes flipping for a while with no avail.

[GAKas]

NOW is when Trump will moderate his tone. It was the long con all along

[SPQR]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

[Angasboy15]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

[musicblind]

https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1324481449614024715?s=21

Holy crap, this is real. I'm responding to this so late because I actually didn't believe it — I had to go fact check it.

Hooooly crap... this is real.

Wow.

Just... wow.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1324484440429457408

[Calthrina950]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

It would be even more frustrating for Biden and the Democrats if they fail to flip John McCain's home state. Georgia, however, could prove to be of some consolation if it flips for Biden.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JasonSCampbell/status/1324478272734986241

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

So it looks like there won't be any calls tonight?

[It’s so Joever]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

Calling Maricopa lean R this election is disingenuous, it’s a Tossup.

[SN2903]

Fox is dumfounded that Biden could get more votes out of Philly than Obama. Only explanation possible must be fraud.

In fairness, it's pretty reasonable for any logical person to wonder how Biden got more votes than Obama anywhere across the country. He's one of the least inspiring politicians of the last few decades to run for president.

But when you consider the hatred against Trump, at least part of Biden's vote count can be explained in some sort of logical way.

True but it raises a lot of questions.

Like how population growth works?

Trump hate isn't an adequate explanation. Biden is such a poor candidate. Also Detroit has been declining so you're wrong about Detroit.

Nobody owes you an "adequate explanation" for voting for a candidate you personally think is uncharismatic. Good grief.

If he was so good it wouldn't be this close Einstein

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

There's still leftover mail-ins from Pima, iirc.

[New York En Marche!]

Remaining Georgia numbers:
https://mobile.twitter.com/GaSecofState/status/1324488161532223488

[BudgieForce]

By my calculations(and be warned, its napkin math), Biden underperformed his Coconino numbers but Trump underperformed in Pinal.

So like others have said, it's all up to Maricopa and which parts still need to count their votes.

[SPQR]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

Calling Maricopa lean R this election is disingenuous, it’s a Tossup.

If the drops continued the same trend as yesterday night, Maricopa would still be won by Biden (by 15K) while losing AZ...

[Catholics vs. Convicts]

NOW is when Trump will moderate his tone. It was the long con all along

Tonight is the night Donald Trump becomes president.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Rakich wrote this back at 3:56 PM:

Arizona: Biden currently leads here by 68,129 votes, but there are around 430,000 left to count, according to KNXV-TV analyst Garrett Archer. We are expected to get more results from Pima County (Tucson) early this evening and from Maricopa County (the Phoenix area, where the bulk of the uncounted ballots are) at 9 p.m. Eastern. It’s unclear whether we’ll get a projection here. (Some outlets, such as Fox News, have already projected Arizona for Biden, but most media outlets have not, including our colleagues at ABC News.) But so far, Trump has been gaining in late-counted ballots, but there is reason to think that may not be true going forward.

[gf20202]

apparently Pima county in Arizona dropped and Biden didnt gain much. This is going to be tight

Please know what you are talking about before posting something. PINAL dropped, not PIMA. They are different places.

[Andy Hine]

Hmmm could be trouble in Arizona?

What is with Dem bedwetters on this site?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Arizona
https://twitter.com/razingarizona/status/1324489129468456961?s=20

24% (-12%/+12%) swing with respect to the previous margins.
Would be in line with a very narrow Trump victory, according to the table I posted some 20 pages ago.

Better hope those later drops from Maricopa really are more Dem.

Calling Maricopa lean R this election is disingenuous, it’s a Tossup.

Maricopa definitely goes for Biden at this point tbh. If Trump wins AZ, Biden still likely gets ~50.5% in Maricopa.