2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[politics_king]

Curious; is it possible for say Hazel and Perdue to merge their votes in GA? Same with Loefeller and Collins?

Nope.

[Stockdale for Veep]

Who gave ladieSmaN-217 their keys back?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hilarious that the only state that Fox called of NV, AK, AZ, NC, GA, and PA is the one that PredictIt has as the least certain.

[Non Swing Voter]

John King on CNN said Chatham County has 17K outstanding votes; my bad math shows that 60% of that alone gets Biden over the line...

That is indeed bad math, since a 60% margin of the 17k votes (Biden winning 80-20) is required for it to cover the current deficit alone. Although that may have been your intention; I think it's not as plausible that Biden will win Chatham absentees 80-20.

I'm not as confident as others about Biden taking the lead by any significant margin, and am currently thinking Biden by 1000 or something. So far, it seems like mail-in votes in deep blue counties are matching or barely exceeding the current margin in those counties, and mail-in votes in swing/red counties are much more democratic than those county margins. To me, it all comes down to how blue the absentee numbers from Chatham and Gwinnett are.

Yeah I think this is right.  It's going to be a tiny margin either way, I can see why there's optimism but I'd be surprised if Biden wins by more than 3 or 4k.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

I was extremely disappointed, but not surprised, she went back on her pro-choice stance.

Good

[Non Swing Voter]

Hilarious that the only state that Fox called of NV, AK, AZ, NC, GA, and PA is the one that PredictIt has as the least certain.

They could call PA if they wanted to but they don't want to.

[Kuumo]

Can't wait till SC overturns PA

Man, do us all a favor and shut up. Nobody cares.

Trump will win and you know it. Dems are in a panic because election was way closer than they thought and they're trying to end it without any verification of votes.

Dread it, run from it, President Biden arrives all the same.

[GeorgiaModerate]

PA SoS news conference on CNN right now. She just said there are "several hundred thousand" votes left.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

Trump will win in 2024 if he somehow doesn't win in 2020. Biden will be next Carter.

Stop spamming, ffs.

There's this really cool button at the top right of each post. It's called "ignore." In SN's case, I strongly recommend you take advantage.

He’s one of the posters who basically made me register, just to be able to put him on ignore. However, the fact that many keep quoting him does not help...

[gf20202]

I don't see Fox how could call Nevada at this point if they didn't do it earlier. Next vote drop isn't until 9 am tomorrow so maybe then but that would kind of a weird thing to do.

If they can call GA at the same time, Biden wins even without AZ so their possibly erroneous call won’t matter.

I don't know how they could call GA with it being a 1k margin today either way and with Chatham not finishing to tomorrow. Probably just dumb rumor mongering, especially since PA gets called first anyway.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm pumped for the moment the Dems take the lead in GA.

Chatham apparently won't finish until tomorrow, so seems unlikely to happen today.

Which counties are finishing today?

[Meclazine for Israel]

Has anyone got the phone number for the NV and AZ vote counting centre's?

I will give them a ring, and ask them to count a few votes tomorrow.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden flipped Tarrant Co. in Texas it appears.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

DTJr. calls out "2024 GOP Hopefuls" (thread)

https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1324453498897932289?ref_src=twsrc%5Ego...

[HisGrace]

Jesse Waters is going full blown conspiracy a-hole on Fox right now regarding PA. Juan Williams is trying to talk him off the ledge.

Waters is such an idiot. One of those guys where you can just tell there's not much going on between the ears even if he lets out just a few sentences.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 5, 5:15 PM
Over the past half hour or so, nearly 23,000 votes have come in from around Pennsylvania, and Biden has won about two-thirds of them. As a result, Trump’s lead has waned to about 90,500 votes, or about 1.4 percentage points (50.1 percent to 48.7 percent). A two-to-one ratio actually isn’t that great for Biden at this point, but that split had a lot to do with getting some votes from deeply Republican counties. Even then, though, Biden managed to break even in the latest batch from Tioga County (Trump has 75 percent overall there) and win around 63 percent of the latest from Crawford County (Trump’s at 71 percent overall). Bluer Lehigh County also came in with a sizable number of votes.

And critically, none of this involved votes from Philadelphia County. This is probably our final update on the numbers ahead of a press conference, scheduled for 5:15 p.m. Eastern, held by Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar, who will be providing an update on where things stand with the count.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

For some reason, I actually think that, out of all his kids, she would have the best chance in 2024.

Because Republicans are, at their most basic element, thirsty?

Haha, no idea. Just a gut feeling.

[forsythvoter]

It would be something of an upset if Trump is still leading after the mail-ins are completely counted. Most likely outcome is Biden by 5k votes or so at this point.

Gwinnett still has 7k or so in addition to Clayton, Chatham and Forsyth.

I believe Clayton, Chatham and Forsyth are the only ones needing to report votes. By my estimates that would net Biden another 9-12k votes. He's currently down by 9k. God help us all.

Oh, I wasn't aware. Biden should have this somewhat easily then.

forsythvoter
Can I ask a favor.
When you quote another post and then type a comment/response, please type what you are saying at the bottom of the quote (and not at the top, like you have been doing).

Sure, will do!

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Can't wait till SC overturns PA

On what basis?

They changed the rules of the game during an election year. It never should have been allowed to happen. The rules should have been clear about counting all along.

Rules about counting? When? They are going to count all votes and not certify results until a winner can be mathematically determined for all elections (i.e. 100% of remaining ballots can’t change the outcome) how long it takes. That’s what elections boards have always done. You seem to be confusing media calls with elections rules.

Aside from which, what possible injury could there be to counting people’s votes? Unless you are alleging that ballots have been manufactured after the election or altered, and I’m going to assume your not out of generosity, there is no basis on which counting someone’s vote is injurious to anyone. Even if you site Bush v. Gore, that was about a recount, not an initial tally.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Thanks for nothing Pennsylvania. Based on what PA's SoS is saying, we aren't getting any results today. This is f**king annoying.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

DTJr. calls out Ron DeSantis and Josh Hawley, presumably Cruz, Rubio, and Haley as well (thread)

https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1324453498897932289?ref_src=twsrc%5Ego...

He actually called them out generally with the exception of Hawley and DeSantis.

[ProudModerate2]

Can't wait till SC overturns PA

On what basis?

They changed the rules of the game during an election year. It never should have been allowed to happen. The rules should have been clear about counting all along.

Listen man, we all were shocked, sad and in denial back in 2016 when Hillary lost. It's natural. It'll go away and, eventually, you'll learn it's for the better. Denial won't help you.

Hey dude. The race has not been called. There's nothing wrong with having optimism and hope. In 2016 on election night we knew the outcome. This is different.

"Optimism and hope" is not saying that the SC is going to overturn the results of PA.
That is trolling.

[President Johnson]

Trump will win imo.

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.

Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

Funny thing, when CA and NY are finally all in, Biden will have a larger share of the vote then Reagan in 80.
And that was allegedly a mandate that hasn’t ended 40 years later.

Biden didn’t win the PV by 10 points

Probably meant the vote share of 50.7%. Obviously due to Anderson, the margin in 1980 will be bigger. If Anderson wasn't running, I think Reagan would have won 53-45% or so.

I hope Biden exceeds the 51.1% Obama got in 2012.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

For some reason, I actually think that, out of all his kids, she would have the best chance in 2024.

I'm skeptical. I think America's bone-deep sexism, particularly among Republican voters, would doom her chances.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Trump will win imo.

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.

Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

Funny thing, when CA and NY are finally all in, Biden will have a larger share of the vote then Reagan in 80.
And that was allegedly a mandate that hasn’t ended 40 years later.

Biden didn’t win the PV by 10 points

And Reagan barely broke 50% of the PV.