2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 651388 times)
Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11175 on: November 05, 2020, 04:56:14 PM »
AZ SoS says late ballot drop offs trend heavily D.
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #11176 on: November 05, 2020, 04:56:34 PM »
If you're willing to let the courts destroy Democracy, you better be ready for the civil war which will come with.

As a member of the GOP myself, I'd rather see Trump go than my party die lmao. What fool wouldn't?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #11177 on: November 05, 2020, 04:56:43 PM »
Lehigh County just flipped.
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jd7171
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« Reply #11178 on: November 05, 2020, 04:57:10 PM »
Leigh county just flipped in PA
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SN2903
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« Reply #11179 on: November 05, 2020, 04:57:39 PM »
Trump will win imo.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11180 on: November 05, 2020, 04:57:47 PM »
Monroe is next.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #11181 on: November 05, 2020, 04:57:53 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 05, 2020, 04:54:24 PM


The difference between rural Appalachia (swing towards Biden), the rest of the rural South/East (swing towards Trump), and the Great Plains (swing towards Biden) is really interesting.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11182 on: November 05, 2020, 04:58:07 PM »
Can Monroe County PA flip?
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ShamDam
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« Reply #11183 on: November 05, 2020, 04:58:18 PM »

imo tbh tbh imo?
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pppolitics
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« Reply #11184 on: November 05, 2020, 04:58:39 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 05, 2020, 04:54:20 PM
Did GA just dropped or is there something wrong with DDHQ?

Never mind.

Confirmed on GA SOS website
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11185 on: November 05, 2020, 04:58:59 PM »

About 20% is absentees, and it's already close. I imagine it will flip like Lehigh in the next dump.
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SN2903
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« Reply #11186 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:04 PM »
Trump will win in 2024 if he somehow doesn't win in 2020. Biden will be next Carter.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #11187 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:15 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on November 05, 2020, 04:54:24 PM

Didn’t realize Trump also picked up so much in Broward and Palm Beach. Wow. I get that he’s going to lose but that’s still pretty impressive.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #11188 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:22 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on November 05, 2020, 04:52:16 PM
PA remaining vote is going to be invalidated by the courts.
Nice to know you think democracy is inconvenient
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« Reply #11189 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:26 PM »

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11190 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:29 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 05, 2020, 04:56:14 PM
AZ SoS says late ballot drop offs trend heavily D.

She said that is *usually* true but not this year.
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Splash
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« Reply #11191 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:35 PM »

And here is the reason why:


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pppolitics
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« Reply #11192 on: November 05, 2020, 04:59:42 PM »
Trump now ~9500 votes ahead in GA
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #11193 on: November 05, 2020, 05:00:04 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on November 05, 2020, 04:56:14 PM
AZ SoS says late ballot drop offs trend heavily D.

Told you all THREE DAYS AGO. AZ would start out heavy Dem favoring, push GOP favoring, and then end mildly Dem favoring. This shouldn't be a surprise.
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SN2903
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« Reply #11194 on: November 05, 2020, 05:00:32 PM »
Quote from: Jeff Bezos Yesman on November 05, 2020, 04:59:26 PM

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.
Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #11195 on: November 05, 2020, 05:01:16 PM »
Biden is catching in PA and GA at a faster rate than what Trump is catching in AZ.

NV has widened for Biden.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,129 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~474,300 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,000 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 9,525 (98% counted)

Of the remaining ~100,600 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 55,100 of them - (54.7%)

PA - Biden down by 90,550 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~488,300 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 289,500 of them - (59.3%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  65.2%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

It really comes down to how many 'actual' votes are left in PA and GA. These numbers above are estimates from NYTimes.com

For example, if there are only 50K of votes left in GA, then Biden will need to win 62.8% of those votes, which he is currently doing.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #11196 on: November 05, 2020, 05:01:37 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on November 05, 2020, 05:00:32 PM
Quote from: Jeff Bezos Yesman on November 05, 2020, 04:59:26 PM

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.
Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

I want to be on what you’re on. Where did you buy?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11197 on: November 05, 2020, 05:01:46 PM »
GA is now within the range that, if Fulton county dumps what it has left, GA flips.
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Woody
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« Reply #11198 on: November 05, 2020, 05:01:51 PM »
He did win.

Notice how it's the blue precincts that always have election irregularities/just enough ballots in the end to magically put dems on the top:
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ajc0918
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« Reply #11199 on: November 05, 2020, 05:01:54 PM »
Quote from: SN2903 on November 05, 2020, 05:00:32 PM
Quote from: Jeff Bezos Yesman on November 05, 2020, 04:59:26 PM

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.
Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

Worms.
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