2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Something else: MA and CA "battle" which states gave Biden the highest vote share aside from DC. It was HI in previous elections, but that's just at about 63%, similar to MD. He's at 66% in MA and 65% in CA, with still a ton of votes to be added. Dude, I'd love it if CA ended up as the most Dem state. I love my homestate big league!

I'm surprised Biden apparently cracked 60% in WA and NJ as I expected him to be just under that mark. NY is just 58%, but only 80% counted so far.

Hawaii swinging a bit Republican was very predictable.  Hawaii always moves towards incumbents, for whatever reason.

[rhg2052]

Something else: MA and CA "battle" which states gave Biden the highest vote share aside from DC. It was HI in previous elections, but that's just at about 63%, similar to MD. He's at 66% in MA and 65% in CA, with still a ton of votes to be added. Dude, I'd love it if CA ended up as the most Dem state. I love my homestate big league!

I'm surprised Biden apparently cracked 60% in WA and NJ as I expected him to be just under that mark. NY is just 58%, but only 80% counted so far.

NY will certainly go up significantly, very little of the VBM has been counted.

[pppolitics]

GA just dumped again

What does it look like?

Trump +13539 now

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

He wants to be arrested?

[forsythvoter]

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1324324886257508353

Good for James

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

He wants to be arrested?

I'm glad CNN isn't covering his tweet s***storm. I'm not sure if the other networks are covering it but I doubt they are with this idiot.

[Figueira]

Something else: MA and CA "battle" which states gave Biden the highest vote share aside from DC. It was HI in previous elections, but that's just at about 63%, similar to MD. He's at 66% in MA and 65% in CA, with still a ton of votes to be added. Dude, I'd love it if CA ended up as the most Dem state. I love my homestate big league!

I'm surprised Biden apparently cracked 60% in WA and NJ as I expected him to be just under that mark. NY is just 58%, but only 80% counted so far.

WBUR has over 99% of Massachusetts in, and it's basically what you said. I assume we'll have to wait a while for California.

[Hnv1]

Either drop a big dump or stop with trickles. We're all on the edge, this isn't the remake of The West Wing.

[DaleCooper]

These rural Nevada counties are doing nothing to cut into Biden's vote so far. With 60k Clark County ballots left, they could easily call it now unless there's something I'm missing.

[Inmate Trump]

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

This would be awesome.

[Horus]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1324324886257508353

Good for James

James attended a Catholic Prep school in Bloomfield twp. He came off elitist and calculated. His appeal to black voters was minimal.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

What was the margin in the 2018 gubernatorial?

[Non Swing Voter]

Not sure what places like Erie, Lehigh, etc. in PA are doing. They haven't really reported any new mail ins in a while.

Erie had a small dump on NYT, Trump lead down from 5 to 3.5 give or take.

On TV yesterday someone quoted a source close to the vote count as saying that in Erie the mail in ballots being counted are going approximately 4-1 for Biden.

I saw that it was CNN, I believe. The biggest thing people are missing is that a lot of the remaining votes even in rural areas are Mail in ballots. These should break for Biden overwhelmingly. Not to say that Philly and Pittsburgh don't count.

I think at this point in PA the outstanding vote is ONLY mail in ballots.  I'd like Philly to put in their numbers first though so it's a rural county that puts Biden over the top.  Will the GOP say that Republican controlled counties committed fraud?

[Ferguson97]

These rural Nevada counties are doing nothing to cut into Biden's vote so far. With 60k Clark County ballots left, they could easily call it now unless there's something I'm missing.

I think everyone is scared to call Nevada unless someone other than Fox/AP calls Arizona, since that would have some organizations in dispute as to whether or not Biden is at 270.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1324406121721786369

[Torie]

Trump beat Clinton here by about 5 points.

[forsythvoter]

70-28 Kemp

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

What was the margin in the 2018 gubernatorial?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

CNN: Trump/team is starting to believe they are "running out of options", Trump frantically calling GOP surrogates, worry about Georgia growing. A 2024 campaign is already being discussed.

[Hnv1]

Something else: MA and CA "battle" which states gave Biden the highest vote share aside from DC. It was HI in previous elections, but that's just at about 63%, similar to MD. He's at 66% in MA and 65% in CA, with still a ton of votes to be added. Dude, I'd love it if CA ended up as the most Dem state. I love my homestate big league!

I'm surprised Biden apparently cracked 60% in WA and NJ as I expected him to be just under that mark. NY is just 58%, but only 80% counted so far.

Will definitely be CA with all the democratic mail ballots waiting. Fox has Mass. at 99% reporting and lower % than Vermont

[GeorgiaModerate]

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

What was the margin in the 2018 gubernatorial?

71-28 Kemp.

EDIT: I see forsythvoter posted 70-28.  The official result was 70.54-27.95 (I rounded up and he rounded down).

[HisGrace]

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1324406121721786369

Sounds more like a winner than someone blasting out frantic all caps tweets.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

70-28 Kemp

A bit of an aside, but I think Forsyth may end up around 65-33 Trump (71-24 Trump in 2016) once it's last mail-in votes are added. GeorgiaMod, your 65-35 prediction was pretty close!

What was the margin in the 2018 gubernatorial?

so, in terms of margins in topballot races:
2016: +47 R
2018: +42 R
2020: +32 R

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

He wants to be arrested?

I'm glad CNN isn't covering his tweet s***storm. I'm not sure if the other networks are covering it but I doubt they are with this idiot.

MSNBC is occasionally mentioning his tweets and basically laughing them off and not spending much time on them.

[Non Swing Voter]

CNN: Trump/team is starting to believe they are "running out of options", Trump frantically calling GOP surrogates, worry about Georgia growing. A 2024 campaign is already being discussed.

These people are insane.  Trump is more likely to be in jail in 2024 than running for President.