2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So is much more counting happening tonight besides Milwaukee?

[pppolitics]

I know no one is gonna read this but, supposedly the city of Milwaukee has 169,000 outstanding votes. Milwaukee county has about 40,000 outstanding votes.

So the city of Milwaukee has more outstanding votes than Milwaukee county?

[BlueSwan]

Absolutely insane that Biden might end up winning GA/AZ/NV, yet still lose the election due to an epic polling error in WI/MI/PA.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

[Meclazine for Israel]

Including PA now:

WI - Biden down by 108,000 (83% counted)

Of the remaining 647,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 356,000 of them. (58.9%)

MI - Biden down by 308,422 (72% counted)

Of the remaining 1,563,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 936,000 of them. (59.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

PA - Biden down by 677,988 (74% counted)

Of the remaining 1,850,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 1,257,000 of them. (67.8%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 4 scenarios to win.

[Storr]

I know no one is gonna read this but, supposedly the city of Milwaukee has 169,000 outstanding votes. Milwaukee county has about 40,000 outstanding votes.

So Biden would need about 56% of those  (118,000/209,000) to catch up with Trump. Seems reasonable that could happen.

[politics_king]

Including PA now:

WI - Biden down by 108,000 (83% counted)

Of the remaining 647,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 377,000 of them. (58.3%)

MI - Biden down by 308,422 (72% counted)

Of the remaining 1,563,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 936,000 of them. (59.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

PA - Biden down by 677,988 (74% counted)

Of the remaining 1,850,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 1,257,000 of them. (67.8%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 4 scenarios to win.

Trend has been that 66% of mail-in ballots come from Democratic voters. So we'll see what happens. But get ready for lawsuits.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

WI - Biden down by 108,000 (83% counted)

Of the remaining 647,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 377,000 of them. (58.3%)

MI - Biden down by 308,422 (72% counted)

Of the remaining 1,563,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 936,000 of them. (59.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 3 scenarios to win.

Have called PA for Trump and NV for Biden.

Good work involving tallying the numbers.

[Storr]

I know no one is gonna read this but, supposedly the city of Milwaukee has 169,000 outstanding votes. Milwaukee county has about 40,000 outstanding votes.

So the city of Milwaukee has more outstanding votes than Milwaukee county?

I'd assume he means Milwaukee County excluding the city of Milwaukee.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Reposting what I wrote on AAD, because some might need a reality check:

Regardless of the outcome, I think we have to accept the fact that court reform is no longer a possibility. We are at the mercy of five hard-right judges and one center-right judge. The oldest justice is Stephen Breyer. If Democrats were winning the Senate, we'd be preparing for his retirement and the swearing-in of Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. It's not happening. And a Biden win alone is not going to protect Roe (which is already dead in all but name) or Obamacare.

So yeah, I'm doomering regardless of the outcome at this point really. If Biden wins, the next four years will be defined by damage mitigation. If Trump wins, the courts will continue to be slanted towards the far-right and progressive reform will be off the table for the next generation.

[Storr]

I know no one is gonna read this but, supposedly the city of Milwaukee has 169,000 outstanding votes. Milwaukee county has about 40,000 outstanding votes.

So Biden would need about 56% of those  (118,000/209,000) to catch up with Trump. Seems reasonable that could happen.

Not sure why I used 118k, 108k is Trump's lead.

In that case Biden needs 51.67% of those votes to catch up.

[forsythvoter]

Biden would win 66% of the remaining vote is they fall the same way as their current county of origin totals right now so GA is doable.

For WI - if most of the outstanding ballots are coming from city of Milwaukee (Biden 80%+ likely), then he probably can get that.

PA is looking tough but not impossible if it's primarily mail votes left.

No clue on MI

WI - Biden down by 108,000 (83% counted)

Of the remaining 647,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 377,000 of them. (58.3%)

MI - Biden down by 308,422 (72% counted)

Of the remaining 1,563,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 936,000 of them. (59.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 3 scenarios to win.

Have called PA for Trump and NV for Biden.

Good work involving tallying the numbers.

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

[ibagli]

I'm slowly sliding into doomerism, but:

https://twitter.com/benwikler/status/1323910181894397952

[Bootes Void]

Alright 10 minutes for the update then I go to sleep

[Storr]

Alright 10 minutes for the update then I go to sleep

This is where I'm at. I have to work at 9am, lol.

[Splash]

Washtenaw just came in strong for Biden (72-26). Trump's lead down to 260K.

[Ye We Can]

Including PA now:

WI - Biden down by 108,000 (83% counted)

Of the remaining 647,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 356,000 of them. (58.9%)

MI - Biden down by 308,422 (72% counted)

Of the remaining 1,563,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 936,000 of them. (59.9%)

GA - Biden down by 102,134 (92% counted)

Of the remaining 406,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 254,000 of them. (62.6%)

PA - Biden down by 677,988 (74% counted)

Of the remaining 1,850,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 1,257,000 of them. (67.8%)

Biden needs to win 2 of the above 4 scenarios to win.

I'd say Biden can do it in all of them then. Pennsylvania is iffy but mail in ballots are expected to be even more democratic than usual there, so I still think Biden is on the right side of a really tight margin.

Regardless, we're in for 1876 redux at this rate.

[forsythvoter]

I'm logging off, but it looks like Biden's clearest path to winning right now is Hillary states + AZ + NE-2 + GA + WI. This gets him to 270 exactly - wow.

He could win MI - news reports say city of Detroit and early vote in the mid-size cities are still out.

Harder to tell with PA but it's looking like Trump is in a good position there.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Alright 10 minutes for the update then I go to sleep

This is where I'm at. I have to work at 9am, lol.

Oh that sucks

At least daylight savings just ended.

[President Johnson]

Imagine going through the last four years and saying "Yeah, we want another four of this sh!t". America is doomed, even if Biden ekes it finally out. Trump should have been rejected by an epic margin.

[Skill and Chance]

I like Biden's odds in MI, WI, and GA (though full Republican control of the state government gives me pause if it's really close), but I'm thinking PA is a lost cause at this point.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

Just go to where AP is doing this.

They still say 100%, so why not call NC already?

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Biden is going to win Michigan.  I am much more confident about that than WI or PA.

[gf20202]

AP is saying 100% of NC is reporting.

It's been a few minutes. Find the link for this yet?

Just go to where AP is doing this.

They still say 100%, so why not call NC already?

I have gone to sites using the AP total. It says 95%. Will you please direct me to the site you are seeing this at? Why are you being so obtuse and evasive?