2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Pima County goes Biden 64-35, per NBC. Ouch.

I think that's good for Biden?

Yes it is. I meant ouch for Trump.

Thanks. I've seen so many things that make me say ouch for Biden that I wasn't sure. Arizona will definitely tighten, but it's looking like I was probably right in predicting it for Biden.

I'm not really the type to indulge in dooming anyway. I have been optimistic all election night, though less than I was at the beginning. Biden losing FL has shaken my confidence to some degree but not enough to shatter it, remotely.

[Alcibiades]

Most likely map now IMO:

Why are you calling Georgia for Trump? It always has a big counting bias so the Republican lead shrinks late.

NYT needle has it more likely for Biden than NC.

[Roll Roons]

It really does look like Biden has more upside in NC based on NYT's count of outstanding votes.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-north-carolina-president.html

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN, which is being ultracautious tonight, calls NM for Biden.

[wbrocks67]

Looks like most of the R counties have everything nearly in in OH but blue areas still lots out.

[Hassan 2022]

https://twitter.com/JTHVerhovek/status/1323828739034226690

Finally.

[Yeahsayyeah]

Ok, I'm calling it quits as it is half past four in the morning, in Germany. We will really not know who won for a while, but I still think (and hope), Biden has the edge.

[dunceDude]

I just need to see more from WI/MI... that would make me feel a lot better.

[JerryArkansas]

Looking at PA, I'm feel ok about it because the red areas seem to have more in than the blue areas, along with the lack of early vote counting.

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1323829406792617987

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Notice we have been missing Biden supporters Brucejoel, Bagel and The resident Johnson whom promised us Biden was the best candidate, Bernie Sanders could have duplicated this map

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone post a link to NE-02 results (without sign-up or paywalls).
Thank you.

[Hope For A New Era]

So, Senate races. Bullock, Greenfield, Ossoff, Cunningham.

We need Gideon + one of the above.


Otherwise, it's the ultimate showdown to see whether American democracy survives - Warnock vs. ? runoff.

[Pulaski]

A software error means ~80 000 mail-ins in Georgia aren't being reported - they'll likely lean Biden.

This is gonna take a while and people shouldn't get too doomer-y about early results.

[Kuumo]

Pima County goes Biden 64-35, per NBC. Ouch.

I think that's good for Biden?

Yes it is. I meant ouch for Trump.

Thanks. I've seen so many things that make me say ouch for Biden that I wasn't sure. Arizona will definitely tighten, but it's looking like I was probably right in predicting it for Biden.

I'm not really the type to indulge in dooming anyway. I have been optimistic all election night, though less than I was at the beginning. Biden losing FL has shaken my confidence to some degree but not enough to shatter it, remotely.

I overreacted a bit because I underestimated the Cuban surge, but it's actually still possible that I guessed every single state correct in the Presidential race. Biden is not done.

[MillennialModerate]

Most likely map now IMO:

Why are you calling Georgia for Trump? It always has a big counting bias so the Republican lead shrinks late.

HAHAHAHAHAHAH

Give Georgia up. It’s been over since... welll for years

[R.P. McM]

I think Biden will probably still win, but given the Senate picture, I want to give a shoutout to one of the stupidest, most selfish people to have ever held a SC seat:



I'm sure it must be difficult for a wealthy, white, heterosexual woman of non-reproductive age to put the interests of tens of millions above her own, but here is your legacy, clown:

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

So, Senate races. Bullock, Greenfield, Ossoff, Cunningham.

We need Gideon + one of the above.


Otherwise, it's the ultimate showdown to see whether American democracy survives - Warnock vs. runoff.

You are prohibited from slumbering on Alan Gross

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie Sanders could have replicated this same map. It's not the 334 map

[Storebought]

FL will only vote Democrat (for president) when the Democrat doesn't need its votes.

[Roronoa D. Law]

NM and CO seem to be holding strong. Biden might win AZ and hold NV.

[Astatine]

Is there any information about Nebraska's 2nd District?

[wbrocks67]

Looking at PA, I'm feel ok about it because the red areas seem to have more in than the blue areas, along with the lack of early vote counting.

Yeah, a bunch of super red counties have 60,70,80% in and most blue counties have nothing.

[forsythvoter]

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

is this really just going to be a more frustrating version of 2018