2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Hey atlas how we doing o wait still dooming gbye

[MasterJedi]

I don't think I ever saw VA called on their map on the website. Was it?

No, never called.

[GP270watch]

Regardless of whether Biden ekes it out, I hope we can stop with "muh electability" in the 2024 primary. This is far too close for comfort for a candidate who was supposed to be the safe choice. People need someone to vote for.

At no point in this cycle did he inspire. And it's clear as VP Harris added nothing of value.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Honestly... this is going the right way so far...

[lfromnj]

I think the NM call is really stupid before any real data comes in

Hot Take:

Trump's best chances(not very high but I would say 20%)
is dependent on the TX Hispanic swing affecting Nevada and New Mexico.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I don't think I ever saw VA called on their map on the website. Was it?

No, never called.

NYT has called VA for Biden, but not CNN.

[wbrocks67]

The NYTimes map now has totally different numbers for Alleghany County PA.

Did Russians hack all these systems?

Some of these results are so whacky I don't even know what to think.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1323810668928245761

tell me this is real, I want to believe.

She is trailing.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-florida-house-district-27.html

[pppolitics]

Ultimately, Biden's job is to hold Clinton's states and win back MI/WI/PA.

That would be a very disappointing result, but Biden would have done the job that Democrats needed him to do.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden didn’t take „Latinos for granted“.

It’s more a combination of Latinos not wanting more of their folk coming into the US illegally when they themselves came often legally and stick to the rules, buying more and more into Trumps tough immigration rhetoric. Also, many Latinos are machos.

Biden took Latinos for granted. His outreach was consistently terrible during the primaries and we've little reason to believe that changed during the GE. Even in FL where they were much less drawn to Sanders, Bloomberg polled well (often better than Biden).

If Cubans in FL were easily swayed by Trump calling *Joe Biden* a socialist, there was no saving them.

That's no excuse for losing them in other states.

[lfromnj]

Biden still wins the presidency if he improves on Clinton’s margins by 1% in the midwest.  Is there any indication right now that he is failing to do this?

Check the fully counted Indiana counties, most of them are about a 0 to 1 swing for Trump with much better rural turnout, I still think he loses the core 3.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Honestly... this is going the right way so far...

Eh Florida should of been better but you are right that Biden still looks on pace

[GALeftist]

Ultimately, Biden's job is to hold Clinton's states and win back MI/WI/PA.

That would be a very disappointing result, but Biden would have done the job that Democrats needed him to do.

Hard disagree. That likely means a minority in the Senate.

[wbrocks67]

If TX is within 2-3 pts, that makes me think that AZ/NV/NM are fine for Biden...

[NOVA Green]

Biden leading with 130k Votes in OH, and +100k D in Hamilton, and +190k in Franklin starts to tell a story, not even going into results from NE OH and Cuyahoga County...

[GoTfan]

Honestly... this is going the right way so far...

What the hell kinda numbers you looking at?

Georgia and Texas are both going Trump.

North Carolina? Biden's dropping steadily.

If Biden loses Ohio (which is likely given that it feels eerily like 2016), then he's finished.

[Bootes Void]

Ultimately, Biden's job is to hold Clinton's states and win back MI/WI/PA.

That would be a very disappointing result, but Biden would have done the job that Democrats needed him to do.

Hard disagree. That likely means a minority in the Senate.

that will depend on the Georgia or NC senate seat

[Suburbia]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

[Pulaski]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

[vitoNova]

VA doesn't surprise me.

Literally 95% of us are teleworking. 

My bank account has gotten thicc during Rona.

[HAnnA MArin County]

..maybe Hillary wasn't such a bad candidate after all.

Just sayin'.

[GP270watch]

Cory Gardner is gone.

[Calthrina950]

Biden-Harris wins, but closely.....

If Biden retires in '24, Harris needs to do better with black men.......

On ABC News, they were discussing Biden's weaknesses with black voters. As a black man myself, I detest Kamala Harris, and voted for Biden in spite of her. This is definitely an area of concern for Democrats moving forward.

[Badger]

Regardless of whether Biden ekes it out, I hope we can stop with "muh electability" in the 2024 primary. This is far too close for comfort for a candidate who was supposed to be the safe choice. People need someone to vote for.

At no point in this cycle did he inspire. And it's clear as VP Harris added nothing of value.

There is little doubt Biden was and is the most electable veiny the candidates. The fact that were sitting here in what turns out to be an unexpectedly tight race and we are whining about having nominated the one guy out of all the candidates who would probably be losing at this point is pretty Fantastical to me

[The Free North]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?