2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Illiniwek]

North Carolina looks really good for Biden...

The NYT needle just swung over to trump...

[Storr]

is this a re-realignment election lol?

the blue wall returns but so does the red wall?

2012 part 2.

Well 2012 without Florida at least....

[Panda Express]

TX is mirroring 2018. 2-3 point Trump win
NC looks good for Biden

Biden will win but our dreams of a 400+ EV win are no more alas

[Meclazine for Israel]

Again, can we please calm down?

no.

The background music on CNN is too energetic and anxious to have any chance of calming down.

That drum beat!

[7,052,770]

North Carolina looks really good for Biden...

The NYT needle just swung over to trump...

F***

[BudgieForce]

You guys, this thread isnt here for your emotional baggage. If you say your freaking out, i'm blocking you.

[Pericles]

Texas is looking close but no cigar for Biden in a very early look...Biden matching but not exceeding Beto.

Democrats might still gain several House seats and the state House with 'close but no cigar'.

[pepper11]

Needle has moved to trump in NC. Consistent with the trend in every state.

[GoTfan]

TX is mirroring 2018. 2-3 point Trump win
NC looks good for Biden

Biden will win but our dreams of a 400+ EV win are no more alas

Biden's not winning North Carolina.

[Woody]

Biden sycophants have suddenly gone quiet.

Kinda like basement Joe, LOL

[ProudModerate2]

Biden way up in NC with over half reporting.... Come on, that would be huge.

I just saw NC went from <1% in to suddenly 55% in

Yep.
Now sitting at 60% counted on NYT.
And their Forecast Needle shows trump chances of winning it at 56%.
OMG.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

JOHN JAMES IS UP JOHN JAMES IS UP THIS IS NOT A DRILL (DecisionDesk)

[Gren]

I'm starting to feel a little nervous. NC, however, is looking good for Biden... isn't it? :/

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Lean R missouri aging well..

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1323797416383029248?s=19

[lfromnj]

Its not only Cuban, but Biden has a Hispanic problem

Hispanic voters per early 2020 exit polls:

Florida:
2016: Clinton +27
2020: Biden +8

Georgia:
2016: Clinton +40
2020: Biden +25

Ohio:
2016: Clinton +41
2020: Biden +24

Source: CNN

Yeah Oscoela county in FL is only Biden +18 albiet with 83% in, compare that with Biden +25. This is the Puerto Rican county in FL.

[DaWN]

Well I said I'd try and stay up to see who's won, but it's not clear right now and it won't be for hours and I'm basically falling asleep so.... g'night I guess.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

We're in the best timeline, not only is Trump perhaps winning, but we're gaining house seats in places like South Florida, hahahaha

The BLM violence probably did more to help Trump win then anything! Democrats made a huge mistake becoming violent. They should have stayed peaceful, focused on covid, impeachment and fixing the economy.

If Biden's overperforming Hillary among whites but underperforming among non-whites, then BLM violence probably wasn't much of a factor.

[Hammy]

This doesn't look good for Biden.

Everybody making fun of me for being a doomer is looking pretty bad right now.

If after everything, Trump wins again or makes it close, I'm not going to trust the polls again. This is seeming like a 2016 redux.

Except the FL polls were all over the place--and I'd been saying all election not to trust them because the state always does whatever it wants in the end.

And you were right. I had predicted Florida as a narrow Biden win, but as I said the other day, I anticipated that this state could go either way, with the Miami-Dade vs. outstate swings that we saw in 2018. And as in 2018, it appears that the Miami-Dade swing has prevailed, and will hand Florida to Trump.

Not really wanting credit but more that it's not a great reason to not trust the polls in general, as long as the remaining states are within the MoE.

Florida's just a really bad state in general to figure out until the votes are actually in.

[MillennialModerate]

North Carolina looks really good for Biden...

LOL wtf are you looking at ?!?!?!?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NC is gone for Trump

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

CNN: "If you had told us four years ago that Georgia would be competitive, we would have said *no*..."

What?

[urutzizu]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/

Here is the Article again about when what votes are counted. NC dump is early and almost all mail ballots, now come Election Day returns.  

[RI]

Trump currently winning Oakland County, MI?

[Calthrina950]

This doesn't look good for Biden.

Everybody making fun of me for being a doomer is looking pretty bad right now.

If after everything, Trump wins again or makes it close, I'm not going to trust the polls again. This is seeming like a 2016 redux.

Except the FL polls were all over the place--and I'd been saying all election not to trust them because the state always does whatever it wants in the end.

And you were right. I had predicted Florida as a narrow Biden win, but as I said the other day, I anticipated that this state could go either way, with the Miami-Dade vs. outstate swings that we saw in 2018. And as in 2018, it appears that the Miami-Dade swing has prevailed, and will hand Florida to Trump.

Not really wanting credit but more that it's not a great reason to not trust the polls in general, as long as the remaining states are within the MoE.

Florida's just a really bad state in general to figure out until the votes are actually in.

I understand your point. Already, the way I view elections is changing due to these early results.

[Pericles]

Who the f**k is this idiot on CNN saying it wasn't foreseeable four years ago that Georgia would be a swing state. It was only a 5 point margin.