2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617317 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #2375 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:11 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2020, 08:31:31 PM by YE »

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.


You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #2376 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:14 PM »

The handful of smaller/rural counties in TX that reported also seem consistent with a close race. Looks similar to Beto-Cruz so far. in the non-metro counties.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #2377 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:24 PM »

Every 2 years republicans gloat about winning VA only for democrats to take the lead as soon as more than 70% of the vote is in.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #2378 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:33 PM »

Looks like there hasn't been as great a suburban swing towards Biden as Democrats hoped.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
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« Reply #2379 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:35 PM »

Is Ohio only early vote so far?
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #2380 on: November 03, 2020, 08:10:46 PM »

It's very clear what's happening.  The election is being decided along educational lines.  That's why Texas is trending left and Florida is stubbornly right. 

We need big numbers out of the Philly suburbs for Biden.
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Pericles
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« Reply #2381 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:08 PM »

Some of those Senate Republicans outrunning Trump like Perdue and Cornyn is annoying. Looks like Graham has it won too, though this isn't a surprise.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #2382 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:19 PM »

I predicted a slim Biden win in TX, by a point or so. Denton County being this close certainly fits in with this.
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Storr
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« Reply #2383 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:23 PM »

Looks like there hasn't been as great a suburban swing towards Biden as Democrats hoped.
What???
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Hammy
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« Reply #2384 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:26 PM »

PA or bust. And that exit poll is too close for any confidence.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #2385 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:39 PM »

It's very clear what's happening.  The election is being decided along educational lines.  That's why Texas is trending left and Florida is stubbornly right. 

We need big numbers out of the Philly suburbs for Biden.

Not happening. If things are going this badly already, then Trump is on track to win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2386 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:39 PM »

TX is gonna flip blue due to Denton, Senator Hegar
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #2387 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:43 PM »

For all those saying Biden looks good in Ohio, keep in mind that the early vote is usually massively pro-Dem.  Hillary was leading big early on in 2016 as well, but lost the state by 8 points.
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #2388 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:47 PM »

Politico calls KY for Mitch.
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jfern
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« Reply #2389 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:52 PM »

Perdue on track to break 50%.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #2390 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:59 PM »

The question now is not whether Trump wins Florida.  He won.  How much did he win by?
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Pericles
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« Reply #2391 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:01 PM »

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

6 is a very small minority, most counties I'm seeing Biden is doing better than Hillary.
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RI
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« Reply #2392 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:03 PM »

Large swing to Biden in Johnson County, KS, unsurprisingly
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The Free North
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« Reply #2393 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:07 PM »

Trumps gonna win Florida by like 2%, hes gonna win by more than 2016.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #2394 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:10 PM »

It's very clear what's happening.  The election is being decided along educational lines.  That's why Texas is trending left and Florida is stubbornly right. 

We need big numbers out of the Philly suburbs for Biden.

Old Northeastern whites in construction save up money to move to FL and rant about Corzine, Murphy, Cuomo, taxes, Dinkins, etc.
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Pyro
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« Reply #2395 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:11 PM »


$100M well spent, Democrats.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2396 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:11 PM »

Blue KS !
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #2397 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:20 PM »

TRUMPS DADE
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2398 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:22 PM »

Maine exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/maine

Biden 53%
Trump 41%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2399 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:24 PM »

I cant wait until Biden wins TX and see the R reaction
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