2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617709 times)
NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2300 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:14 PM »

CNN calls Massachusetts, Maryland, Delaware and D.C for Biden

CNN also calls Oklahoma for Trump.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #2301 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:19 PM »

What's going on in NC?

Why are the votes so slow?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2302 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:22 PM »

Thought KY looked bad for Biden but there's only like 30-40% of the 2016 vote in, so looks like a lot of Election Day there
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SPQR
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« Reply #2303 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:24 PM »

Broward County may well end up with a tighter vote margin than 2016.
Bad bad signs.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2304 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:28 PM »

Recommend for petition to mute Alben Barkely, insufferable hack who makes stupid claims about early vote, much worse than any claim Limo liberal has made, who literally said people should pay attention to the 15 point cuban swings but no thats "dooming" and not good.
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #2305 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:31 PM »

We saw from polling that Florida was all over the place and might not come through for Biden. There are states where he polled much better that haven't even closed yet. Please calm down.

This enitre damn forum was insisting Biden would win Florida no matter what.

It's the Atlas tradition: predict a Democratic landslide, then panic when that landslide fails to materialize.

I'm only going to seriously consider a Trump victory if I see serious signs that he's pulling it out in one of the former Blue Wall states. Otherwise we're tracking towards my original prediction (except maybe Arizona, Trump might hold that after all)

My actual prediction:



Trump overperforms polls, still loses.

Slight Biden overperformance:



(I'm not sure whether Florida or Georgia would flip first this election)

Slight Trump overperformance:



Trump still loses unless he flips both NE-2 and ME-2, in which case he brings it to a tie.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #2306 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:32 PM »

What bubble?
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super6646
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« Reply #2307 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:44 PM »

Way too many too early to calls
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GoTfan
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« Reply #2308 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:44 PM »

Lol at people thinking Biden is done. We haven’t even seen WI, MI, PA, or AZ yet. Calm the f*** down. Biden is still the favorite. HE DOESNT NEED FLORIDA.

Without Florida, this whole thing will drag on for days, which gives Trump enough time to stage his coup.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2309 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:47 PM »

Florida exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/florida-president-results

Biden 49%
Trump 49%
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Pericles
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« Reply #2310 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:54 PM »

The third party vote being so much higher in 2016 than 2020 makes it harder to do quick analysis of county shifts.
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Harry
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« Reply #2311 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:57 PM »

What's going on in NC?

Why are the votes so slow?

4 precincts are staying open late due to issues
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2312 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:34 PM »

Hows Ohio going to go?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #2313 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:36 PM »

Shocked, shocked, that Biden wins Delaware.
#WilmingtonisTrumpCountry
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #2314 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:41 PM »

NY Times instant called all the obvious 8pm states.
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roxas11
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« Reply #2315 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:47 PM »

I posted this about FL on October 30, 2020, 12:48:41 AM

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=407463.msg7704718#msg7704718

You may not like my outlook, but here is the harsh reality

During 2018 midterms Florida showed all of us just out of step with the rest of the county they were and The GOP ended up doing well, there despite the fact that they were getting crushed everywhere else

you are kidding yourself if you don't think the same thing can happen again in this election
People need to wake up and realize that any Dem who is betting their political future on the idea that FL is going to save them will end up looking just as foolish as Al gore and Andrew Gillum did on election day....



I feel vindicated and if Biden does go on to win the election
dems should be thankful that this was not Biden only path to victory

I don't care how favorable the demographics appear in FL
The 2018 election showed me that this was a state that was leaning Right and it is now doing the same during this election. hopefully tonight is a wake up call for all Dems going forward about the dangers of putting thier trust in FL
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Pericles
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« Reply #2316 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:54 PM »

Lol at people thinking Biden is done. We haven’t even seen WI, MI, PA, or AZ yet. Calm the f*** down. Biden is still the favorite. HE DOESNT NEED FLORIDA.

Without Florida, this whole thing will drag on for days, which gives Trump enough time to stage his coup.

Florida was just one option to wrap it up early, we'll probably know Biden has the win anyway. And a coup is pretty unlikely anyway lol.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2317 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:55 PM »

Recommend for petition to mute Alben Barkely, insufferable hack who makes stupid claims about early vote, much worse than any claim Limo liberal has made, who literally said people should pay attention to the 15 point cuban swings but no thats "dooming" and not good.

F—k you.

Not even sure what the f—k you’re talking about. Florida is obviously not looking good, I have not said otherwise since Miami-Dade came in.
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #2318 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:56 PM »

Dems shouldn't have underestimated the Cubanos...


Yep, these people had to escape on rafts to get away from communism they aint voting to turn their new country into cuba.
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GoTfan
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« Reply #2319 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:58 PM »


Trump'll win.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2320 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:04 PM »

Lots of calls on NYT - TN, MS, AL, OK for Trump, IL, MD, DE, NJ, CT, RI, MA for Biden. EV totals now 85-55 Biden.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #2321 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:07 PM »

It’s due to one county...
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2322 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:08 PM »

TITANIUM TILT R

The curse is real!
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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #2323 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:11 PM »


Chaotic Evil state
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Fargobison
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« Reply #2324 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:20 PM »


Headed for a recount 2.0 because 2020 of course.
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