2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[SPQR]

Pinellas keeps on tightening, less than a point.
The margins in the rest of Florida seem just too thin for Biden.

[Tintrlvr]

Pinellas just dumped more votes and it brought the result very close. Not sure if those were the ED votes (in which case Pinellas may be done, Biden carries it narrowly) or something else.

I found the Pinellas County elections website. Apparently their current results are all ED, all early in-person and "partial" mail votes. So Biden's margin there should expand, but unclear how many mail votes there are left to count.

https://enr.votepinellas.com/FL/Pinellas/106209/web.264614/#/summary

[GeneralMacArthur]

Florida is so confusing.  It keeps swinging back and forth by 2-3% on MSNBC and nobody knows what the ED/EV/VBM composition is, which is hugely important.

Unless NYT has that information, I'm still an advocate of completely ignoring the needle.

Every single county Kornacki taps on has Trump about 2-3% down from 2016 and Biden up 2-3% on Clinton.  As is also true in Pinellas.

[The Free North]

Trump won Pinellas by 7k last time, hes down 4k this time.

Thats nothing compared to the Miami numbers he racked up. I think Florida is gone for the Dems. NC is probably a good shout, then AZ/PA.

[GoTfan]

If at the end of this Biden wins Florida, lol.

He's not winning it. Stop it.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

/pol/ already starting the victory parade lmao

[Admiral Kizaru]

Dude we're going on like half an hour of pure FL coverage by CNN

Gonna switch over. Getting ridicolous.

[Canis]

Didnt they extend the polls 45 minutes in NC? that would explain the lack of results

[lfromnj]

Again guys

   Hillary Clinton   Timothy Kaine   Democratic   624,146   63.22%
   Donald J. Trump   Michael R. Pence   Republican   333,999   33.83%


Total vote in MD in 2016.

Now

Biden 548k
Trump 457k,

most of the early vote is in as ED is many fewer votes. In Whiter counties ED means Trump gains as Pinnelas is now only Biden +0.7 I don't know how ED should affect MD county.

[Beet]

NY Times needle has maxed out FL for Trump (>95%) with over 73% reporting. Could be seeing a call soon.

[pppolitics]

Time for the Florida Democratic Party to disband.

[Storr]

Orange County just dumped: 80% in and 64% Biden - 34.0% Trump in 2016 59.8% Hilary - 36.4 Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is why I never predicted Biden winning Florida in this entire election season.

It replaced PA, so if Biden only wins WI and MI and FL comes in for Biden he is Prez elect

[Use Your Illusion]

If Biden carries Seminole he has a chance

[Hassan 2022]

If at the end of this Biden wins Florida, lol.

He's not winning it. Stop it.

I'm not expecting that to happen at all, to be clear.

[Non Swing Voter]

In a lot of the counties Trump is matching his old numbers but Biden is increasing on Hillary because no third party vote essentially.  If this trend continues it's going to be really bad in states like MI/WI/PA for Trump.

[BudgieForce]

I guess we really might get a democrat Georgia and a republican Florida...

[anthonyjg]

NY Times needle has maxed out FL for Trump (>95%) with over 73% reporting. Could be seeing a call soon.

Yeah, I mean we'll see where this goes, but that seems a little out there to me.

[GoTfan]

Perhaps Alben Barkley can stop talking about how Biden wins Florida by miles?

I guess we really might get a democrat Georgia and a republican Florida...

Lol keep dreaming.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Martin County in rural Indiana, 98% reporting

78.2% Trump, was 76.3% Trump in 2016, so that is consistent with the KY counties where in rural areas Trump seems to have gained very slightly.

However, Clinton got 18.2%, Biden is at 19.6%, so part of what seems to be going on is just the 3rd party vote is going down in these areas and some of that is going to Trump as well as to Biden.

[Panda Express]

I guess we really might get a democrat Georgia and a republican Florida...

Wasserman was right

[Woody]

Let the slaughtering begin.

Where you at boy?

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

I'd just like to point out that, regardless of the mail vote, Trump is up over 100k votes from 2016 in Miami. The mail ins and EDs might favour Biden, but the raw improvement for Trump was really all he needed if Biden isn't really bringing home the seniors (and it doesn't look like he is).

[ProudModerate2]

Florida is killing me right now.
Errrrrrr.

[Calthrina950]

2018 is happening again in Florida. Just like Nelson and Gillum, Biden has apparently flipped Duval and Seminole Counties, and is improving in Pinellas/Hillsborough compared to Clinton. However, this massive swing to Trump in Miami-Dade appears to be canceling that out. The last time a Democrat did this poorly in Miami-Dade was in 2004, when John Kerry won it 52.9-46.6% against George W. Bush; Bush won Florida by 5% that year, a solid margin for such a close state. With this kind of performance in Miami-Dade, I don't think Biden is going to win Florida.