2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617669 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1400 on: November 03, 2020, 06:19:29 PM »
Welp, it's over. Biden wins the PV by 16. Good night, everyone.
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Splash
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« Reply #1401 on: November 03, 2020, 06:19:41 PM »
Are these absentee ballots, E-Day ballots, or a mix? NYT doesn't say...
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Storr
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« Reply #1402 on: November 03, 2020, 06:19:44 PM »
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on November 03, 2020, 06:18:45 PM
BIDEN OVERPERFORMING CLINTON IN RURAL INDIANA!
KOKOMO JOE
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compucomp
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« Reply #1403 on: November 03, 2020, 06:19:45 PM »
I don't know how reliable these early returns are in IN, but Trump is losing 3-4% in areas that should be super favorable to him, while Biden picks up all Gary Johnson voters and gains the share that Trump lost.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #1404 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:08 PM »
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1405 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:13 PM »
Quote from: Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️ on November 03, 2020, 06:18:01 PM
Greene county IN, 68.4% Trump with 52% reporting, was 74.1% Trump in 2016... good sign in rural Indiana. Cross your fingers...

If Trump is down even slightly in rural areas, he's going to get obliterated. He needs larger margins in those places to offset what is going to happen in the suburbs.

Obvious caveat that we are looking at a tiny fraction of counties in two states that may not even be particularly representative.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #1406 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:25 PM »
Biden at almost 30% in NE Indiana County Hillary only got 23% in.
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kireev
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« Reply #1407 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:32 PM »
Sullivan 65% to 33% Trump from 71.3% to 24.5%
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #1408 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:32 PM »
Yikes, If rural Indiana is swinging Biden by that much, just wait for the suburbs
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #1409 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:49 PM »
Are these early numbers good or bad for Biden?
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #1410 on: November 03, 2020, 06:20:56 PM »
In both Indiana counties Trump isn't matching his margins last time...  this seems bad considering his margins are going to get worse in big suburbs.  But of course it's just two counties.
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Woody
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« Reply #1411 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:01 PM »
ELLIOT COUNTY IS COMING IN.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1412 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:01 PM »
Quote from: musicblind on November 03, 2020, 06:19:02 PM
Quote from: NOVA Green on November 03, 2020, 06:13:29 PM

Politico just dump some numbers from KY, as well as updating their IN numbers.


Do you have the politico link? Smiley

https://www.politico.com/
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #1413 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:08 PM »
THIS IS HAPPENING!

@Forumlurker
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QAnonKelly
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« Reply #1414 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:11 PM »
Hey gang, what's your thoughts on the classic film Kiki's Delivery Service?
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1415 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:15 PM »
DeKalb County IN, 68.3% Trump with 1% in, probably early vote or something. County as a whole was 70.9% Trump in 2016.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #1416 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:20 PM »
Quote from: Buh her emails! on November 03, 2020, 06:20:49 PM
Are these early numbers good or bad for Biden?

With the caveat that they’re early, a small sample, and incomplete: they’re stellar.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #1417 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:37 PM »
Quote from: Buh her emails! on November 03, 2020, 06:20:49 PM
Are these early numbers good or bad for Biden?

They're essentially the same proportionally lol, we only have partial reporting in all of the counties.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1418 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:37 PM »
Quote from: Buh her emails! on November 03, 2020, 06:20:49 PM
Are these early numbers good or bad for Biden?

Good.  Trump needs an overperformance in rural counties to offset the fact that he's going to get obliterated in the suburbs.
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roxas11
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« Reply #1419 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:39 PM »
That fact that IN was not quickly called for Trump is a very bad sign for him
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #1420 on: November 03, 2020, 06:21:47 PM »
Trump underperforming in every rural county in so far. He’s toast.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1421 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:09 PM »
Yeah, Trump isn't going to win.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1422 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:09 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 06:19:41 PM
Are these absentee ballots, E-Day ballots, or a mix? NYT doesn't say...

IDK if it's EV or ED in-person, but it can't be mail-ins with that much of the counties reporting because Indiana is a strict excuse-only mail ballot state. 
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1423 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:29 PM »
Quote from: roxas11 on November 03, 2020, 06:21:39 PM
That fact that IN was not quickly called for Trump is a very bad sign for him

They can't call a state until all polls close in that state, which is 7pm for IN.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #1424 on: November 03, 2020, 06:22:35 PM »
I'm not sure of the composition of these ballots.
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