2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

The CNN exit poll has a whiter Michigan electorate than 2018. Seems unlikely. Also only D+4, while 2018 was D+8.

[emailking]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

As long as it's weighted, it's fine.

In addition to them not saying anything about weighting, how would they even know at this point how to weight it? They don't know the election day turnout yet.

They can estimate the election day turnout because they know how many people they let walk past without interviewing. You'd have the same issue even if there was no mail voting or EV. I wouldn't assume it's not weighted just because it doesn't say it's weighted.

[Ljube]

50% of voters chose coronavirus, racial issues and health care policy as their priorities. Not bad for Dems

Bad for Trump.

By the way, these voters will be the first who will be laid off in a Biden recession.

Or in a Trump recession.

There won't be a Trump recessions, partly because Trump is going to lose. But you can bet on a Biden recession.

There already is a Trump recession

It is not a Trump recession. It is a Biden recession.
Had Trump been re-elected, the economy would have rebounded like never before.

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/geoffgarin/status/1323706598209015808

[wbrocks67]

The issue is that there is no proof that the CNN poll weighted?

[kireev]

Yeah, CNN seriously over sampled election day voters. 61% of those sampled voted on election day.

As long as it's weighted, it's fine.

In addition to them not saying anything about weighting, how would they even know at this point how to weight it? They don't know the election day turnout yet.

Also, looking at the most important issue I would guess that they were not weighted: very low percentage of COVID: people who vote on election day obviously care about it way less. The numbers for economy and racial equality are good: more Republicans and minorities.

[musicblind]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

My kink is not a slur. 😡😡

Ok... gotta admit... I laughed.

[ExSky]

50% of voters chose coronavirus, racial issues and health care policy as their priorities. Not bad for Dems

Bad for Trump.

By the way, these voters will be the first who will be laid off in a Biden recession.

Or in a Trump recession.

There won't be a Trump recessions, partly because Trump is going to lose. But you can bet on a Biden recession.

There already is a Trump recession

It is not a Trump recession. It is a Biden recession.
Had Trump been re-elected, the economy would have rebounded like never before.

This has got to be the dumbest f—king thing I’ve ever read on this site. Congrats.

[wbrocks67]

Also, it just makes sense that COVID would be the top issue. There's no way it would be... #3 below racial inequality.

[President Johnson]

50% of voters chose coronavirus, racial issues and health care policy as their priorities. Not bad for Dems

Bad for Trump.

By the way, these voters will be the first who will be laid off in a Biden recession.

Or in a Trump recession.

There won't be a Trump recessions, partly because Trump is going to lose. But you can bet on a Biden recession.

There already is a Trump recession

It is not a Trump recession. It is a Biden recession.
Had Trump been re-elected, the economy would have rebounded like never before.

Lmao, it's a Trump recession because he screwed it up. Canada and Europe are doing better because they have competent leaders mostly.

[ultraviolet]

50% of voters chose coronavirus, racial issues and health care policy as their priorities. Not bad for Dems

Bad for Trump.

By the way, these voters will be the first who will be laid off in a Biden recession.

Or in a Trump recession.

There won't be a Trump recessions, partly because Trump is going to lose. But you can bet on a Biden recession.

There already is a Trump recession

It is not a Trump recession. It is a Biden recession.
Had Trump been re-elected, the economy would have rebounded like never before.

Wtf?

Biden has as much control over what's going on as you or me. Also why hasn't the economy rebounded like never before already?

[Horus]

Also, it just makes sense that COVID would be the top issue. There's no way it would be... #3 below racial inequality.

Many in society are tired of COVID and just don't want to think about it anymore. Is that terrible? Yes. But it's also true for many.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Great. That cuck Van Jones whining on air now.

Can you not use words like that when criticizing an opponent. Criticize away, but don't use alt-right slurs.

My kink is not a slur. 😡😡

Ok... gotta admit... I laughed.

But was it a joke? 🤔🤔

[Yank2133]

https://twitter.com/StuPolitics/status/1323754552298999810

It is not even 6, my man.

[roxas11]

The CNN exit poll has a whiter Michigan electorate than 2018. Seems unlikely. Also only D+4, while 2018 was D+8.

yeah this is ridioulus just based off the very high turnout we have been seeing all over the country

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1323757221784641537?s=20

[Hindsight was 2020]

We literally had a two hour build up to why the early exist polls (which are notorious to start with) would suck extra hard this year and still people freak out 🙄

[Ljube]

50% of voters chose coronavirus, racial issues and health care policy as their priorities. Not bad for Dems

Bad for Trump.

By the way, these voters will be the first who will be laid off in a Biden recession.

Or in a Trump recession.

There won't be a Trump recessions, partly because Trump is going to lose. But you can bet on a Biden recession.

There already is a Trump recession

It is not a Trump recession. It is a Biden recession.
Had Trump been re-elected, the economy would have rebounded like never before.

Wtf?

Biden has as much control over what's going on as you or me. Also why hasn't the economy rebounded like never before already?

He has control through useless Dem Governors and he was considered almost inevitable for the last couple of months.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Despite most things looking rosy for Biden, the doomers refuse to go down without a fight

On that note, what was the result in Guam?

Biden + 13-14, but a 20ish point swing toward Trump from 2016. China-bashing is a helluva drug.

[Ferguson97]

Get ready for Indiana doomposting when the early votes disproportionally favor Republicans because mail-in ballots aren't being counted yet

[ExSky]

We literally had a two hour build up to why the early exist polls (which are notorious to start with) would suck extra hard this year and still people freak out 🙄

Just trumpers and doomers hanging onto whatever little morsel they can get now. They’ve been a lot weaker than I thought they would be. Everything they’re saying sounds like even they don’t believe it.

[ultraviolet]

Guys, why are you all saying "the exit polls are trash!" and then you turn around and discuss them?

[Rand]

https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1323757221784641537?s=20

I'm doing much better than I was four years ago. Still voted Biden.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Trump lost Minnesota "handling of the economy" polls lmao.

The GOP can't even win exit polls in states that they pour a historic amount of resources in - this should tell you something about how tonight will go.

I'm thinking Biden reaches well into the 350s-370s at this point. 

[anthonyjg]

Guys, why are you all saying "the exit polls are trash!" and then you turn around and discuss them?

check your url