2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617708 times)
NYSforKennedy2024
Kander2020
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« Reply #800 on: November 03, 2020, 04:11:56 PM »
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

ICON LIVING
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Granite City
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« Reply #801 on: November 03, 2020, 04:12:15 PM »

This is an acceptable amount of malarkey - no more, no less
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #802 on: November 03, 2020, 04:12:18 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 03, 2020, 03:33:12 PM
bit of perspective in republican areas in PA


Press x for doubt. Pretty sure *no* precinct *anywhere* broke turnout records after only being open for 4 hours. Also, running out of literature is possibly the weakest possible enthusiasm update I could think of...
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #803 on: November 03, 2020, 04:12:32 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 03, 2020, 04:10:23 PM

Keep it up baby!
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #804 on: November 03, 2020, 04:12:42 PM »
Voted about a hour ago..

Hoping Treasurer Perdue holds on for a seventh term.

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #805 on: November 03, 2020, 04:12:59 PM »
Meanwhile, if this is true, hard for Trump to win PA.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #806 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:21 PM »
Quote from: MAGugh on November 03, 2020, 04:11:56 PM
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM

FF Phil Scott

ICON LIVING

FF!!
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TopShelfGoal
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« Reply #807 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:25 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on November 03, 2020, 04:07:13 PM
To get to even R+3 the GOP would have to win a pretty huge chunk of whatever vote is outstanding in Florida, right?

If they're at 10.4M now, and assuming they get to maybe 11M, that's... a hard ask.

To reach R+3 they'd need to increase their lead by roughly 0.35-0.4 points per hour till polls close. They have averaged R+0.14 per hour for the last 3 hours and it has been declining. I agree, it's a tough ask.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #808 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:32 PM »
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #809 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:40 PM »
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GP270watch
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« Reply #810 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:48 PM »
Quote from: Chocolate Thunder on November 03, 2020, 04:07:02 PM
Quote from: GP270watch on November 03, 2020, 04:05:05 PM
Quote from: 2,868,686 on November 03, 2020, 03:53:46 PM
Quote from: new_patomic on November 03, 2020, 03:51:33 PM


Gain of just 16K versus 230

 
Tick tock

 If Biden only has Clinton '16 type lead than Trump has already erased it.

Didn’t he have like 600k more Republicans coming out that day?

Clinton had 96k Party ID lead and 247k actual vote lead and Trump won by 113k.

 Biden had a 113k Party ID lead we don't know what his actual vote lead was, but Republcians are leading by Party ID by 173,200(3:30PM) so we've seen a 286k swing.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #811 on: November 03, 2020, 04:13:58 PM »
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

I HAVE BEEN SUMMONED
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Ljube
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« Reply #812 on: November 03, 2020, 04:14:02 PM »
We need the numbers from Pennsylvania.
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2952-0-0
exnaderite
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« Reply #813 on: November 03, 2020, 04:14:11 PM »
Quote from: SunSt0rm on November 03, 2020, 04:06:09 PM
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 03, 2020, 03:57:40 PM

He is obviously trolling


*inks* you Dave!
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Splash
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« Reply #814 on: November 03, 2020, 04:14:35 PM »

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NYSforKennedy2024
Kander2020
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« Reply #815 on: November 03, 2020, 04:15:06 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 03, 2020, 04:13:32 PM
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary

Hot take: No.

I think, at least in Vermont and some other deep Dem states, you'll see the State GOPs move toward a more moderate position if Trump loses.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #816 on: November 03, 2020, 04:15:24 PM »
Also can we put some perspective on how lopsided ED was supposed to be for Trump? The fact that Dems are having such heat ED turnout is probably the most ominous sign for Trump
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Hnv1
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« Reply #817 on: November 03, 2020, 04:16:05 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 03, 2020, 04:13:32 PM
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary
He can run as an independent and still win
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exopolitician
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« Reply #818 on: November 03, 2020, 04:16:34 PM »
Quote from: Splash on November 03, 2020, 04:14:35 PM



Queen!
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #819 on: November 03, 2020, 04:16:41 PM »
Quote from: Statilius the Epicurean on November 03, 2020, 04:13:40 PM


Kind of disappointing to be honest.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #820 on: November 03, 2020, 04:16:52 PM »
Quote from: MAGugh on November 03, 2020, 04:15:06 PM
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on November 03, 2020, 04:13:32 PM
Quote from: Horsemask on November 03, 2020, 04:11:18 PM


FF Phil Scott

FF, but he just lost his 2022 primary

Hot take: No.

I think, at least in Vermont and some other deep Dem states, you'll see the State GOPs move toward a more moderate position if Trump loses.

Does VT have open primaries? Dems crossing over could probably save him.
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NYSforKennedy2024
Kander2020
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« Reply #821 on: November 03, 2020, 04:17:04 PM »
MSNBC reporting some PA counties won't even start to process mail-in ballots until tomorrow.
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Torrain
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« Reply #822 on: November 03, 2020, 04:17:15 PM »
Quote from: Make Politics Boring Again on November 03, 2020, 04:14:11 PM



*inks* you Dave!
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Pollster
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« Reply #823 on: November 03, 2020, 04:17:37 PM »
In case it hasn't been posted yet, the NYTimes portal is up.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #824 on: November 03, 2020, 04:17:45 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 03, 2020, 04:14:02 PM
We need the numbers from Pennsylvania.


What numbers?!! What are you expecting before polls close?!
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