2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Tender Branson]

If I'm understanding correctly, so far Republicans are winning the ED vote in Florida 50-25-25? From the counties reporting registration #s at least.

Republicans will likely come out with a half-million lead after election day overall, but it's the Indys that will decide it.

Election day will likely add another 1-2 million in FL, and those skew 50-25-25 Republican.

Good night.

[Hammy]

I started this Election Day with a covid-19 rapid test, after being exposed last Thursday and experiencing what I thought was allergy symptoms this past weekend (I assumed so because it was before I knew I'd been exposed).

The test showed negative, and I'm praying it wasn't a false negative.

While reading about possible riots on the streets tonight.



This is Trump's America.

Somehow Trump convinced 40% of the country that the riots are because of private citizen Joe Biden.

He's right, but obviously not about which 40%.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?

Anyone got a link?

[ExSky]

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1323678629491056642

Shouldn’t have made a big deal about drive through voting lmao.

[swf541]

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?

Anyone got a link?

I can send you one

[roxas11]

I don't know if Trump needs 400k or not

but I do believe that if he really wants to win FL he should be doing a lot better than he currently is and the GOP should be growing their ballot lead a lot faster than they currently are

Now maybe Trump can still pull it off in the end but if things continue trending in the direction they are going right now....Biden will probably win the state of FL

[forza nocta]

https://twitter.com/asteadwesley/status/1323690337152454662?s=21

[ultraviolet]

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?

Anyone got a link?

I can send you one

Can you send me it too please

[new_patomic]

If I'm understanding correctly, so far Republicans are winning the ED vote in Florida 50-25-25? From the counties reporting registration #s at least.

Republicans will likely come out with a half-million lead after election day overall, but it's the Indys that will decide it.

Election day will likely add another 1-2 million in FL, and those skew 50-25-25 Republican.

Good night.

To be fair, that's not including Miami-Dade. But nice.

[Bootes Void]

a little while back

https://twitter.com/browardpolitics/status/1323684643888091142

So this is good for Biden, right?

Broward is a very dem county, so easily yes

[Person Man]

If I'm understanding correctly, so far Republicans are winning the ED vote in Florida 50-25-25? From the counties reporting registration #s at least.

Republicans will likely come out with a half-million lead after election day overall, but it's the Indys that will decide it.

Election day will likely add another 1-2 million in FL, and those skew 50-25-25 Republican.

Good night.

That nets them just what they need in the best case case for them.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/BobMooreNews/status/1323676264427868161
Is this true?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

https://twitter.com/asteadwesley/status/1323690337152454662?s=21

Now THAT would be a holy crap number if true.

[cp]

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?

Anyone got a link?

I can send you one

Could I get one, too?

[Ferguson97]

So are these Florida numbers good or no?

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/asteadwesley/status/1323690337152454662?s=21

Now THAT would be a holy crap number if true.

That's lights out for Trump in Wisconsin if it happens.  (TBF, I don't think he's particularly close there to begin with.)

[Bootes Void]

So are these Florida numbers good or no?

Depends, but if you are a dem this is encouraging.80% could even be a conservative estimate
https://twitter.com/Weinsteinlaw/status/1323687932088193024

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/asteadwesley/status/1323690337152454662?s=21

Now THAT would be a holy crap number if true.

Wisconsin should've never even been in doubt given the massive urban turnout. That it dropped so much in 2016 was the only thing that put Trump over the top.

[BudgieForce]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1323694620224720897

I'm not going to pretend to know what I'm talking about but it does seems like election day turnout has slowed abit. It could easily pick up the pace later the day, which is why i'm not going to read into anything.

[ExSky]

So are these Florida numbers good or no?

[Hindsight was 2020]

So are these Florida numbers good or no?

If NPA break for Biden like they are expected/been polled as doing then yes Biden is on pace for a 1-2% win

[RI]

If Miami-Dade is good for the R's as I think it could be, the best I can really see the R's ending up at in FL is right about +300k. Is that enough? I don't know. I think it'll be really close, like usual.

If Miami-Dade is better for the D's, Biden likely wins.

[new_patomic]

The other problem is, even with Miami not included, the pace of gain seems down to 20-30K votes an hour. Which if extrapolated puts them at maybe... just at 300K assuming they can keep it at 30K, not including anything bad from Miami, etc.

[Flabuckeye]

View of Florida at start of day:

Dem  3,548,112 or 66.6% turnout   +115,416
Rep   3,432,696 or 66.4% turrout    

At 11am (without Sarasota, Miami-Dade, Seminole)

Dem 3,705,868  or 69.9%       -57,563
Rep   3,763,431  or 72.8%

Strong Rep push this morn

Here is the noon report:  (without Sarasota, Miami-Dade, Seminole)

Dem 3,750,868 or 70.7%       -100,880
Rep  3,851,748 or 74.5%%

Florida Report for 1:30    (without Sarasota, Miami-Dade, Seminole)


Dem 3,793,231 or 71.5%       -137,145
Rep  3,930,376 or 76.0%

[Hassan 2022]

https://twitter.com/Graniteprof/status/1323689056186867713