2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[DrScholl]

Arizona was called so I don't know why anyone is worried about it.

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/dougducey/status/1324054428886867969?s=19

Ducey keeping it professional, I'll give him respect for that. I'm sure he has bigger ambitions and could probably challenge Kelly in 2022 but I doubt he makes that move. Maybe runs for President in 2024.

[lfromnj]

Obviously all votes aren't in yet so not making any final predictions but Trump is doing better in the Bronx than Manhattan
LOLOLOL.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Arizona was called.

Where?

[Asta]

There seems to be a worrying amount of confusion with Arizona; some saying that because it's EV that was returned the day before or on election day it could skewer Trump but equally some people are saying that it's fine because the most of it is maricopa county.

After I've stopped worrying about Michigan can somone reassure me Arizona isn't going to f*** us from behind?

NV is likely Biden. I don't see Trump catching up with tons of votes remaining in Clark county.

PA is uncertain but Dave Wasserman and Nate Cohn both think Biden is on track to win there.

GA is pure tossup but Cohn said Biden is the favorite by smidgen after Atlanta votes get dumped there.

I don't know about AZ so we'll see.

If I was a betting man, I'd rather be putting my money on Biden than Trump.

[DrScholl]

Arizona was called.

Where?

AP called it last night.

[The Free North]

Arizona was called.

Yeah but so was Florida in 2000 and this is kind of a unique situation with the virus. Not saying Biden loses it, but his current margin in Maricopa makes 0 sense. Its going to get tighter for sure. Just not sure how much. Either way, it remains unlikely Trump wins the states he needs given WI is done.

[wbrocks67]

Arizona was called.

Where?

by Fox and the AP. I would've expected them to retract it by now if they thought it was in danger.

[forsythvoter]

I actually agree with this. We should always count all the votes regardless of which party is ahead or behind. That includes NV. That includes AZ. That includes GA. And yes, that includes PA.

https://twitter.com/dougducey/status/1324054428886867969?s=19

Ducey keeping it professional, I'll give him respect for that. I'm sure he has bigger ambitions and could probably challenge Kelly in 2022 but I doubt he makes that move. Maybe runs for President in 2022.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324065378658639877?s=19

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

So it's possible

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1324061986779504642?s=21
Lmao

We already know he's going to do this. I truly hope Biden wins the remaining states so the Electoral Map looks even better and Biden can hit at least 4 million more votes in the popular vote. Best part of this, is the fact the GOP are losing the popular vote and claiming voter fraud and the election being stolen. I know we're stuck with the Electoral College but eventually I would love to see it gone.

I held onto modest approval for it even after 16.

Screw that. Now I want it gone.

There is already a state by state “keep the majority from running over the minority” check and that’s the senate

The Senate would be a lot more defensible if all it actually did was just to "keep the majority from running over the minority." But what it actually does, in reality, at least a good amount of the time (and in recent times more often than not), is it "enables the minority to run over the majority."

It is reasonable to want a check that stops the majority from running over the minority, but the Senate is not that check. If that is what you want, then the Senate should be redesigned so that it actually does reliably provide that sort of check.

[politics_king]

Arizona was called.

Where?

Fox News, AP and type "Election Results" in the Google Search Bar.

[lfromnj]

Anyway Trump did improve in Santa Cruz and Yuma counties by 5-6 points on % margin, suggesting  so far there was a hispanic swing in Arizona too. However the problem for the GOP is that AZ whites are basically like 2016 CO whites.

[forsythvoter]

It's possible but will still be difficult because R crossover in Maricopa county has generally been higher than D crossover and Indies leaned D this year.

So it's possible

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

So it's possible

It's definitely possible, but it'll depend on how heavily these late mail votes split for Trump and how many registered Republicans cross over. 

[Roronoa D. Law]

Can Biden really break 80% in Multnomah?

[Agonized-Statism]

For pure aesthetics, I actually think the 270-268 map doesn't look that bad. It's no Jesusland, but the Upper Midwest in particular looks better without Minnesota and Illinois as islands and Arizona might finally connect the Pacific States to the New Mexico-Colorado stack. Red Pennsylvania's cut into the blue balances out Virginia's cut into the red. If you have to have a map to spur clashes and legal battles over and see in the news all the time, that's a decent one.

[wbrocks67]

PA update:

176K left in Allegheny
167K left in Philly
68k left in Bucks
62K left in Montco
59k left in Chester
29K left in Delco
20K in Lancaster
20K in Luzerne
13k in Berks

https://twitter.com/JoeHoldenCBS3/status/1324065334115110917

If Allegheny (81%) and Philly (93%) keep going as they've been going, that should net Biden nearly 300K alone.

These #s also appear to be fluid with late arriving ballots. Earlier, Montco was down to 54K but now it's up to 62K

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Trump campaign suing the State of Michigan

[politics_king]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324065378658639877?s=19

Biden wins by less than 5k votes. Though at this point, I would take anything Nate Silver says with a grain of salt. Dude has totally shot his credibility.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324064410684575746
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324066120157089796

[SunSt0rm]

There seems to be a worrying amount of confusion with Arizona; some saying that because it's EV that was returned the day before or on election day it could skewer Trump but equally some people are saying that it's fine because the most of it is maricopa county.

After I've stopped worrying about Michigan can somone reassure me Arizona isn't going to f*** us from behind?

For now, neither AP or Fox have walked back their calls.

Also a bit reliefing is that CBS has charaterize it from too close to call to likely Biden

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Obviously all votes aren't in yet so not making any final predictions but Trump is doing better in the Bronx than Manhattan
LOLOLOL.

Current numbers from DDHQ for NYC as a whole. (Ignores third party votes)
1,643,212 Biden (73.68%)
586,900 Trump

[MillennialModerate]

Can Biden really break 80% in Multnomah?

I mean .... what do you think