2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617538 times)
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #50 on: November 05, 2020, 09:50:20 AM »

Both parties need a wake up call

NY is a red state without NYC
IL is a red state without Chicago

CA is to the left of NY and IL......

GA is going Blue, and Republicans put to trash gay marriage and abortion in the garbage.

Martina White and Nicole Malliotakis should be the template for the GOP going forward, Northern ethnic law and order, not Marsha Blackburn's rigid social conservatism.

Yes, if you take away half the voters in a state it’ll probably vote differently. Genius political insight.

Missouri is a Democratic state if you take away everything except St. Louis. Republicans need a wake up call...
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #51 on: November 05, 2020, 10:17:17 AM »

Genuinely concerned this election could be stolen.

Any rational personal would feel the same

My man, you run off of anxiety. Give your brain and body a break.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #52 on: November 05, 2020, 10:21:33 AM »

Genuinely concerned this election could be stolen.

Any rational personal would feel the same

My man, you run off of anxiety. Give your brain and body a break.

I love my country and in the prime of my life I’m seeing it come apart

Tea but trust me, your mental health is important. It’s important to stay calm and accept things. Not everything is going to go horribly wrong.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #53 on: November 05, 2020, 10:25:56 AM »

Genuinely concerned this election could be stolen.

Any rational personal would feel the same

My man, you run off of anxiety. Give your brain and body a break.

I love my country and in the prime of my life I’m seeing it come apart

Tea but trust me, your mental health is important. It’s important to stay calm and accept things. Not everything is going to go horribly wrong.

So I’m just supposed to accept it all because it’s for my “mental health?” WTF

Relax dude. I’m just saying you’re not doing your mind any favors by jumping from one thing to the next to worry and be anxious about all the time.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #54 on: November 05, 2020, 10:46:24 AM »



Absolutely. He also would’ve won the state if everyone who voted for Biden just didn’t vote!
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #55 on: November 05, 2020, 10:56:49 AM »

There are 11,000 left in Fulton
7,000 in Clayton
18,000 in Chatham

and a bunch of other counties IIRC.

Fulton is 72-26 Biden-Trump right now, so Biden would net 5,060 from those.
Clayton, 85-15, nets Biden 4,900.
Chatham, 58-41, nets Biden 3,060.
So that's at least 13,000 votes Biden can be expected to gain from those three counties.  He still needs 5,000 to come from the rest of the state.

VBMs in GA have been more Democratic than the counties as a whole so far, though.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #56 on: November 05, 2020, 11:52:05 AM »

What's going on? Will Biden lose PA? Will we have an update around 12 pm EST?
Dems trying to appeal court order

Why though? Who cares if they watch ...

Kinky.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #57 on: November 05, 2020, 12:00:16 PM »


Because I have a 50€ bet on William Hill, in which I would win 450€ if Trump ends somewhere between 240 and 268 EV.

If he wins both states, Trump drops below 240 EV ...

Hoping a meteor hits Austria today because I bet money on it.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #58 on: November 05, 2020, 12:06:23 PM »


No one wants to see your dumb Facebook memes.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #59 on: November 05, 2020, 12:18:55 PM »


Really? It was pretty obvious this was how it would end up.

You just thought they loved cops more than they really do.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #60 on: November 05, 2020, 12:23:33 PM »



We’re trying! We’re so close to voting you out.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #61 on: November 05, 2020, 12:30:05 PM »

You hate to see it.




Trump and everyone who associates with him are completely toxic.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #62 on: November 05, 2020, 01:20:51 PM »

Hawaii loves incumbents meme lives on.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #63 on: November 05, 2020, 02:00:17 PM »

Kind of feels like Biden is the clear favorite in Georgia now but the final margin will be tiny (a couple thousand).

What are the chances that the overseas military ballots turn the small margin around again, so that Trump wins it ?

Just accept that you lost your bet.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #64 on: November 05, 2020, 03:40:53 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #65 on: November 05, 2020, 03:57:34 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.

She's right though.

"Defund the police" sounds really bad.

Cool. No one in the Democratic leadership ever said to defund the police. So, again, Spanberger should be able to run her own campaign without blaming others for nearly losing.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #66 on: November 05, 2020, 04:00:58 PM »

I mean I’m glad Spanberger hung on but girl like.... complaining about a BLM attack ad against you and blaming leadership? It’s called a campaign. Learn to run one better next time so you can fight off these attacks.

She's right though.

"Defund the police" sounds really bad.

Cool. No one in the Democratic leadership ever said to defund the police. So, again, Spanberger should be able to run her own campaign without blaming others for nearly losing.

But Rashida Tlaib and AOC were all about defunding and their words were used against DMP and Spanberger

Awesome. Maybe Spanberger should complain about them then? But to be honest, she really should take responsibility for her own election results. Stop scapegoating others for your own crappy results.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #67 on: November 05, 2020, 04:02:23 PM »

Just really annoyed by the “I almost lost and I blame everyone but me!” Girl... aren’t you an adult?
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #68 on: November 05, 2020, 04:45:39 PM »

Trump netted 6k votes from Detroit, Biden lost 1k and Trump gained 5k.
Of course.
I have been warning Atlas Dems that inner-city minorities are the likeliest to shift right in voting habits, but no, apparently the Democratic Party will hold them at these current margins forever.

Judging by how Biden’s campaign addressed the concerns over his Latino problem...I am guessing they will just pretend the trend doesn’t exist until it bites them in the *ss.

What? You don’t know that this new batch of votes from Detroit exclusively come from African-Americans.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #69 on: November 05, 2020, 04:47:06 PM »

Trump netted 6k votes from Detroit, Biden lost 1k and Trump gained 5k.
Of course.
I have been warning Atlas Dems that inner-city minorities are the likeliest to shift right in voting habits, but no, apparently the Democratic Party will hold them at these current margins forever.

Judging by how Biden’s campaign addressed the concerns over his Latino problem...I am guessing they will just pretend the trend doesn’t exist until it bites them in the *ss.

What? You don’t know that this new batch of votes from Detroit exclusively come from African-Americans.

This is like saying Republicans have a rural problem in Georgia because the latest votes being counted in rural counties there are favoring Biden!
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #70 on: November 05, 2020, 04:48:10 PM »

Biden just netted ~1,700 votes as the Crawford County AVs came in. Trump is leading in the county overall, 71-27. That's the reason you really can't depend on the absentee ballots in rural Pennsylvania to be all that favorable, relatively speaking, to Trump.  

Wow, Republicans have a rural problem, right Forumlurker?
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #71 on: November 05, 2020, 05:05:32 PM »

Oh! Hopefully Philly is just waiting to drop their votes during prime time so Fox can cut away from Hannity to announce Biden won the election.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #72 on: November 05, 2020, 07:34:06 PM »



What percentage has he been pulling in thus far?

Upwards of 70%, which is why his 65% in Chatham was “disappointing”, despite it being enough for him.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #73 on: November 05, 2020, 10:13:11 PM »


Yeah, no way there’s over 500k votes in VA-01. n1240 is correct.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #74 on: November 05, 2020, 10:29:20 PM »

Once Trump wins AZ, and GA (good chance) the narrative will completely shift. Trump will change PA vote counting legally it goes to SCOTUS and he wins . Trump will win the election most likely. GOP will get behind him 100% when he wins AZ and GA

This is so sad. I’m sorry. I hope you can accept reality when all is said and done.
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