2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

[emailking]

State-level polling errors are totally understandable but what is up with national surveys? It's still early but they look to have seriously missed the mark. They didn't really do that in 2016.

Clinton was still losing the popular vote at midnight. Biden's winning by 1.6 million. California takes a long time to report everything and lots of mail ballots are still out.

[Pick Up the Phone]

Don’t see Biden losing this race with AZ called and MI/WI looking good. Or do I miss something?

Is it because they haven't counted mail in votes yet?

Exactly.

[Heebie Jeebie]

I'm going to assume if Biden wins, it's just going to be more gridlock since the GOP is going to keep the Senate most likely?

So the climate is fcked, is what you're saying.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Oregon decriminalizes all drugs

https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514828/oregon-drug-decriminalization-measure-110-results?

More than a Biden admin would have done anyway. Extremely good news.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Maybe I'm going crazy but everything I'm seeing suggests Wisconsin polling was nonsense. If it was accurate Trump should be down significantly in rural Wisconsin but his margin is up 4% from 2016 in Juneau (74% reporting) and both his total vote and margin are up in Clark (98% reporting).

Most concerningly of all for Dems is Lafayette in Southwestern Wisconsin, a key area for Dems, where Trump has improved from 52% to 56% (!!!) with 100% reporting. For reference, Tammy Baldwin won Lafayette with 55% and she only won the election with 55% of the vote so if I were Biden I'd be extremely concerned.

This Wisconsin map does not look like a Democrat victory in the slightest. Maybe mail in votes will come to Biden's rescue but it's going to be extremely close.

[MillennialModerate]

WHY WONT ANYONE give a fair assessment of where the blue wall states stand

[Fargobison]

It's midnight and no winner is called.

NBC finally gave Ohio to Trump, so it's 192-132. I don't  know why they are so cautious.

Well they haven't called FL and it is has been over for several hours now.

[Intell]

Republicans get a 52-48R senate, and democrats won't be able to do anything in four years, and probably lose in 2022 midterms, and thus get blamed for doing nothing leading to a republican victory in 2024,  lovely scenario- America's fycked even with a Biden presidency, which I expect.

[Bootes Void]

I think Biden takes Pa, most of the votes is in blue areas

[The Free North]

New Mexico voting to the right of Arizona rn...

Wtf?

Hispanics swings + more rural/non college whites.

The senate race there is only 4% in it with most of Albuqurque in.

2020 is weird man.

[7,052,770]

Where I think we are in the morning.

[Bootes Void]

Republicans get a 52-48R senate, and democrats won't be able to do anything in four years, and probably lose in 2022 midterms, and thus get blamed for doing nothing leading to a republican victory,  lovely scenario- America's fycked even with a Biden presidency, which I expect.

Hickenlooper and Kelly both won, Collins is tough but Ga and NC are on the board still

[Ljube]

Can Trump win Michigan?
That would save us all.

[Alben Barkley]

Maybe I'm going crazy but everything I'm seeing suggests Wisconsin polling was nonsense. If it was accurate Trump should be down significantly in rural Wisconsin but his margin is up 4% from 2016 in Juneau (74% reporting) and both his total vote and margin are up in Clark (98% reporting).

Most concerningly of all for Dems is Lafayette in Southwestern Wisconsin, a key area for Dems, where Trump has improved from 52% to 56% (!!!) with 100% reporting. For reference, Tammy Baldwin won Lafayette with 55% and she only won the election with 55% of the vote so if I were Biden I'd be extremely concerned.

This Wisconsin map does not look like a Democrat victory in the slightest. Maybe mail in votes will come to Biden's rescue but it's going to be extremely close.

I think some of those "100% reporting" are errors unless turnout has plummeted, which is not likely. Seems more like only the same day vote is completely counted.

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

He literally said except Florida. Even if Mr. Electable pulls it out narrowly the Senate is f***ed. "NeverBernie" trolls have no room to assert themselves tonight.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1323852613545242625?s=20

[Storr]

WHY WONT ANYONE give a fair assessment of where the blue wall states stand

unbiased: no one knows

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

Even if we lose Wisconsin, we can still win thanks to Arizona.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

James Carville with the self-harm joke lmao

"I think the Dems should put the razor blade and the Ambien away for the night"

[Senator Spark]

TRUMP 274-264.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Can Trump win Michigan?
That would save us all.

I think MI is gone to Trump.

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1323852613545242625?s=20

And we legalized California-style "medical" marijuana, and got rid of the State House veto of statewide election results. Good set of results there.

[Roronoa D. Law]

WHY WONT ANYONE give a fair assessment of where the blue wall states stand

Because everybody has you on ignore.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

AOC calls out Biden and Democratic Party over failure to win Latinx vote:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/aoc-twitter-biden-election-results-latino-voters-b1578094.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1604465253

lol AOC.
You aren't electable on nationwide level, why are you trying to preach?

Our wing had the keys to win the Hispanic vote pretty much everywhere outside of Florida.

Not really. If your wing got the keys, then the soft Latino vote probably would have been spooked even more and we'd be even farther off from winning FL.

He literally said except Florida. Even if Mr. Electable pulls it out narrowly the Senate is f***ed. "NeverBernie" trolls have no room to assert themselves tonight.

Counterpoint: automatically conceding FL is a bad idea.