2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[The Free North]

Regardless of the final outcome, it is a good thing that America is racially depolarizing. This forces quasi white nationalists away from the GOP and makes civil war less likely.

Best post of the night. We dont want to become South Africa. Fluid elections are fantastic. Really happy about this.

[QAnonKelly]

Biden is killing it in Cobb County

[lfromnj]

What I’m seeing so far suggests Biden is doing significantly better than Hillary with white people but worse with minorities, especially Latinos, and especially Cubans. Which some polls suggested all along. Good news is that means he probably takes back the “blue wall” in the midwest. Bad news is unless that includes Ohio, this might all come down to PA and be dragged out for days/weeks.

No he is not doing significantly better with white people.  You are trying to gaslight this forum as you have done for months, he is improving with white suburbans but rural white areas have swung harder right in Indiana and Kentucky in counties that are 95%+ reporting. Mr.Bidenmaywinelliot.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Rio Grande Valley not looking great

[Bootes Void]

Biden is killing it in Cobb County

Of that's the case, Ga might go narrowly for Biden

[forsythvoter]

As more of the vote is coming in, it actually is looking like Biden is in good position to win NC, with GA likely to be quite close. Biden is getting the swings he needs in metro ATL and most of the vote reporting so far is rural GA, with most metro ATL counties lagging behind the statewide average.

[Splash]

Outside of a small report from Oakland County, MI is all election day votes. Need to be careful there. Obviously Trump is not getting 41% in Washtenaw (Ann Arbor) and winning Kalamazoo.

[Woody]

holy f#ck look at jessamine

Might wanna take a look again chief, LOL

[7,052,770]

Thoughts on Ohio?

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

8-11 point move NATIONALLY from Hispanics to TRUMP!  20 points in FL alone!

[Horus]

As more of the vote is coming in, it actually is looking like Biden is in good position to win NC, with GA likely to be quite close. Biden is getting the swings he needs in metro ATL and most of the vote reporting so far is rural GA, with most metro ATL counties lagging behind the statewide average.

So then why does the needle give Biden virtually no chance in GA?

I'm not saying you're wrong, but something isn't adding up.

[GP270watch]

Blue Texas was a dream that's gonna have to wait until 2024.

With Florida and Texas gone, not feeling great about Arizona.

Trump has kept much of his base and Biden is doing crappier than Clinton in some places that matter.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Holy sh**t.

Biden is only leading by 12 points in Cameron County, Texas.

[Pericles]

For Kansas, "initial results may be too good to be true for Democrats. Expect a red shift as election night wears on." https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/ It would be beautiful if Bollier could win there, but don't fully trust the early results.

[Crumpets]

Not to beat a dead horse here, but there is seriously something not right about the "precincts reporting" %s that are being listed. Fairfax City is reportedly almost all in, but also barely shows 3,000 votes after casting 7,367 in 2016. If that number is wrong across multiple counties in multiple states, there is something big we are missing.

Which states is this true for?

So far Boone County, KY; Clay County, IN; and Fairfax City (not county), VA all have clearly wrong % reporting numbers, at least on the NYT map, unless turnout dropped substantially (like, 30-50%) since 2016 and all saw huge swings (Boone and Clay to Biden, Fairfax to Trump).

[Astatine]

Does Biden have a chance at winning Monongolia County? He leads by 4 pts. right now.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

A blue New Hanover County (NC) is pretty striking.  Hasn't voted for a Democrat since 1976. 

[ProudModerate2]

Ohio.
Exit poll data just shown on NBC, said that voters that did not vote in 2016 but did now vote in 2020, are about 2/3 voting for Biden and 1/3 voting for trump.
If true, that could be big for Biden.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Thoughts on Ohio?

Lean Biden

[Xing]

Well, this is looking closer than I thought, but you all are very annoying, so have a good night. See you all tomorrow.

[BigSerg]

8-11 point move NATIONALLY from Hispanics to TRUMP!  20 points in FL alone!

yeah!!!!!!

Si esto se mantiene en Arizona, podemos salvar el estado!!!!!!
(Mi ansiedad me impide comentar en ingles, lo siento)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once Biden wins NC the Senate and Prez.

[Pericles]

If OH actually flips and gives Biden a clear win relatively early, then maybe he was actually a genius for focusing so much on it.

[Storr]

A blue New Hanover County (NC) is pretty striking.  Hasn't voted for a Democrat since 1976. 

It's generally been the swing county since 2008.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Damn...looks like Biden may win Ohio...