2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[BigSerg]

Dems at this thread after massively obsessing on early voting trends: Don't look at the numbers (even though there's nothing else to look for right now). Sumter county pops out: LOOOOOK AT THOSE NUMBERS ITS BAD FOR TRUMP

lol *Atlas

[Joe Biden 2024]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

[RI]

Some "results" from Guam (21% of precincts partially reporting):

Biden 54.86%
Trump 42.91%

https://gec.guam.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/2020ge-results-unofficial.pdf

Guam had over 30,000 voters in 2016, so I'm not going  read too much into 3500 votes.

You shouldn't read much into it even if those were the final results. It's Guam. Still think it's interesting though.

[ExSky]

Does anybody *actually* know what's happening in Florida or is this all a bunch of assumption and conjecture?

It's clear to me that Republicans are having a huge turnout today, but I think literally everybody expected this. I can't make heads or tails out of NPA's and I don't really know how they vote.

And I'm not sure how you guys are coming up with these percentages Trump needs to hit.

We know far more than we’ve ever known about Florida due to the massive early vote that’s nearly equaled 2016 overall turnout. We can see how each party is comparing to how they did in 2016 and if they’re hitting county benchmarks. The simple fact of the matter is that Dems are surpassing their marks while the GOP is at best matching them in places. That’s without factoring in that NPAs are comfortably expected to go Biden this cycle and there  are far more R->D voters than D -> R voters.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

So your display name "Democratic Nominee 2020" has finally been fulfilled... cheers!

[exopolitician]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

Cheers! 🎉🎊

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

Do you think that Biden will win PA? Also, was your voting line long?

[ExSky]

Dems at this thread after massively obsessing on early voting trends: Don't look at the numbers (even though there's nothing else to look for right now). Sumter county pops out: LOOOOOK AT THOSE NUMBERS ITS BAD FOR TRUMP

lol *Atlas

I’ve no idea what this guy is talking about. We’ve been encouraged by EV trends the entire time. And it’s starting to show now. GOP doesn’t have much left to turnout in their strongholds whole Dems are mining far more than they did in Broward/Pinellas and very like Miami Dade on E Day.

[bilaps]

75K Reps lead now

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

By all appearances Biden's Florida fate is in the hands of a bunch of geriatric Republicans deciding to vote for him. Or maybe indies swinging hard for Biden.

[Hassan 2022]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

Awesome! I voted straight ticket Dem today in NH right as the polls opened.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Some "results" from Guam (21% of precincts partially reporting):

Biden 54.86%
Trump 42.91%

https://gec.guam.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/2020ge-results-unofficial.pdf

Guam had over 30,000 voters in 2016, so I'm not going  read too much into 3500 votes.

You shouldn't read much into it even if those were the final results. It's Guam. Still think it's interesting though.

Thanks for tracking that down!

[ExSky]

75K Reps lead now

Slowing waaaay down. Love the see it. And that’s WITHOUT Miami Dade and Sarasota. And add that to the fact that Dems come out in the afternoon in Florida...that Ballot lead is lookin mighty tiny.

[RI]

8,800 votes in Guam now (40% partially reporting). Biden slightly gains to 55.8-41.6.

[swf541]

75K Reps lead now

Slowing waaaay down. Love the see it. And that’s WITHOUT Miami Dade and Sarasota.

Yep, quite good news

Also I wish people would post the total vote totals with percentages with this data, the higher turnout the more you need a larger margin to reach some of the desired partisan ID rates for both sides

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323663665967603713

Terrible news for Trump

[Joe Biden 2024]

Just got back from voting for Biden.

Do you think that Biden will win PA? Also, was your voting line long?

The way my polling place (a Quaker meeting house. Make of that what you will.) was set up, there were two lines: One line if your last name was A-J (mine) and one if your last name was K-Z. I was in line for 20-25 minutes. No electronic voting. Instead, you filled out the ballot and the machine scanned it.

I do think Biden will win PA.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Hey, Atlas hasn't crashed yet. Good job, servers that are currently held together with duct tape.

[Person Man]

75K Reps lead now

Slowing waaaay down. Love the see it. And that’s WITHOUT Miami Dade and Sarasota.

Yep, quite good news

Also I wish people would post the total vote totals with percentages with this data, the higher turnout the more you need a larger margin to reach some of the desired partisan ID rates for both sides

Biden is probably fine if he could keep it under 400k.

[It’s so Joever]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

[OBD]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Hey, Atlas hasn't crashed yet. Good job, servers that are currently held together with duct tape.

It's not even noon Eastern Time, I guess the worst will come later.

[Tender Branson]

8,800 votes in Guam now (40% partially reporting). Biden slightly gains to 55.8-41.6.

Guam is "close" to China.

This might have an impact for voters there, after all the anti-China stuff coming from Trump.

That's why it may end up 60-40 Biden, compared to 72-28 Hillary.

[Crumpets]

Some "results" from Guam (21% of precincts partially reporting):

Biden 54.86%
Trump 42.91%

https://gec.guam.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/2020ge-results-unofficial.pdf

Dededo Joe!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

If Guam does swing hard to Trump, what would that signal this cycle?

Perhaps the trend that's been speculated on thus far - that the minority gap is shrinking.

But doesn't Guam have a history of voting Republican in the past?