2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Battista Minola 1616]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

[Bootes Void]

I know Ohio isn't a swing state but I wonder how much of a role did just one putting one drop off box for mail per county worked out. It may explain why turnout didn't go up as much

[seb_pard]

Well, according to NYC Board of Elections, all ballots were canvassed, and they will certify the election this Tuesday (once certified, they will publish the full results).

https://vote.nyc/page/unofficial-absentee-totals

https://twitter.com/BOENYC/status/1332884065276530689

[Antonio the Sixth]

Given the recounts cost the campaign 3 million, that's $34k per added Biden vote. What a generous gift!

[Antonio the Sixth]

Good God, NYC sucks at elections.

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

...this guy was an Atlas poster?? Who?

[Battista Minola 1616]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

...this guy was an Atlas poster?? Who?

He was active between 2004 and 2005, but I don't think I am allowed to link to his profile.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Given the recounts cost the campaign 3 million, that's $34k per added Biden vote. What a generous gift!

Merry Christmas Joe! 🎄🎄❄️🎁🎁❄️🎄🎄

[Gustaf]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

...this guy was an Atlas poster?? Who?

He was active between 2004 and 2005, but I don't think I am allowed to link to his profile.

Oh, Jravnsbo? I think I remember him.

EDIT: I had definitely misremembered my original statement, must have mixed him up with someone else.

[Battista Minola 1616]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

...this guy was an Atlas poster?? Who?

He was active between 2004 and 2005, but I don't think I am allowed to link to his profile.

Oh, Jravnsbo? I think I remember him, didn't he rage quit the forum due to the creation of Fantasy Elections?

Ah so we can mention his (user)name? I have no idea how or why he quit, as it happened 15 years before I joined.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Given the recounts cost the campaign 3 million, that's $34k per added Biden vote. What a generous gift!

Merry Christmas Joe! 🎄🎄❄️🎁🎁❄️🎄🎄

The true meaning of the First Sunday of Advent!

[Gustaf]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

...this guy was an Atlas poster?? Who?

He was active between 2004 and 2005, but I don't think I am allowed to link to his profile.

Oh, Jravnsbo? I think I remember him.

Ah so we can mention his (user)name? I have no idea how or why he quit, as it happened 15 years before I joined.

Oh, can't we? I don't know why we couldn't. But that wasn't the reason he quit, I now realized I have him mixed up with someone else.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

Ravnsborg might share this, uh, crown with Yates, if you count pseuicide as "killing someone".

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1333168088007774224

[Battista Minola 1616]

Jason Ravnsborg(R)

lmao. Only the best people!

(tbf I'm sure there plenty of mega-HPs on Democratic slates too, just lower-profile ones.)

Eh, the ones on Democratic slates don't share the dubious distinction of being the first Atlas poster to kill someone (hopefully they don't share the distinction of having killed someone in general lmao).

Ravnsborg might share this, uh, crown with Yates, if you count pseuicide as "killing someone".

I don't know who Yates is. Is he that guy who managed to get elected President of Atlasia only to reveal he was actually a sockpuppet or something like that?

[forza nocta]

https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1333173621200711683?s=21

[NOVA Green]

https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1333173621200711683?s=21

Hopefully that means they will dump the precinct data Statewide at that time....

Lots of good data to be mined.

[Frodo]

And now we wait for Arizona.... 

[forza nocta]

^

https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1333188332453588993?s=21

[Antonio the Sixth]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1333168088007774224

Freedom Result!

[Roll Roons]

^

https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1333188332453588993?s=21

MARICOPA INCOMING!!!!

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

So all the Trump->Biden states should have their electors appointed by the end of the Eastern Time workday tomorrow?

[wbrocks67]

So right now we are at

Biden 80.26 million (51.1%)
Trump 73.97 million (47.1%)

How much is still realistically out? NYC is still completely out in terms of mail ballots, so that is adding at least another ~750K right?

Are any other states still adding anything? It feels like CA still has a tiny bit out, while IL is right around 0% movement since 2016, which doesn't feel right - are they done counting too?

The NYC dump should go like 80-20 to Biden, right? Feels like he should be able to top 81 million with that batch.

[DINGO Joe]

Westchester and Suffolk plus some other upstate counties are still out there.  Maybe some odds and ends for Illinois and possible Maryland, but yeah 90% of what's left will be NY

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Honestly, how the f*** is that man not in jail yet?

[Antonio the Sixth]

So right now we are at

Biden 80.26 million (51.1%)
Trump 73.97 million (47.1%)

How much is still realistically out? NYC is still completely out in terms of mail ballots, so that is adding at least another ~750K right?

Are any other states still adding anything? It feels like CA still has a tiny bit out, while IL is right around 0% movement since 2016, which doesn't feel right - are they done counting too?

The NYC dump should go like 80-20 to Biden, right? Feels like he should be able to top 81 million with that batch.

If you look above I've already made the calculations for NYC.

Now, if someone has the number on how many votes remain in Westchester, Suffolk, Albany and Onondaga, I'd be happy to add those numbers in and see how much they move the needle.