2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[CookieDamage]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

Tiffany’s so sane you forgot she exists, just like her dad.

Idk Tiffany has been nutty lately too

[Malarkey Decider]

Biden is going to win GA, its fairly obvious at this point.  Sad.

Biden is going to win GA, its fairly obvious at this point.  HAPPY

[VBM]

I feel like MillennialModerate must have made a really expensive or embarrassing bet on Blue Georgia not happening, which is why he’s so adamant against it

[Alben Barkley]

I don't see Fox how could call Nevada at this point if they didn't do it earlier. Next vote drop isn't until 9 am tomorrow so maybe then but that would kind of a weird thing to do.

If they can call GA at the same time, Biden wins even without AZ so their possibly erroneous call won’t matter.

[Meclazine for Israel]

GA going right down to the wire.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,129 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~474,300 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,000 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 9,525 (98% counted)

Of the remaining ~100,647 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 55,091 of them - (54.7%)

PA - Biden down by 90,550 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~488,300 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 289,500 of them - (59.3%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  61.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

If GA has only 40,000 votes left, then to make up the gap, Biden gets 61.81% which would let him catch up 9,510 votes.

But he needs 9,525 votes.

Trump would then win GA by 15 votes. So it really comes down to how many votes are remaining to be counted in GA and PA.

If there are more than 50K remaining in GA, then Biden will most likely take it.

PA mail-in votes in Pittsburgh could be where Biden seals it.

[politics_king]

Wow, switched to Fox for a second and it's the Five and one of these idiots who grew up in Philly is saying that back then the Black Panthers were committing voter fraud and they are now.... Smh. Quickly changed that channel. They really need to get those clowns off TV.

[philly09]

Jesse Waters is going full blown conspiracy a-hole on Fox right now regarding PA. Juan Williams is trying to talk him off the ledge.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Biden is going to win GA, its fairly obvious at this point.  Sad.

[redjohn]

Fox is dumfounded that Biden could get more votes out of Philly than Obama. Only explanation possible must be fraud.

[DrScholl]

Btw, big thanks to Shane Hazel for running as Libertarian in Georgia and being relevant enough to bring Perdue below 50 %. Without her, that wouldn't have happened.

Him

[OSR stands with Israel]

Trump will win imo.

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.

Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

Funny thing, when CA and NY are finally all in, Biden will have a larger share of the vote then Reagan in 80.
And that was allegedly a mandate that hasn’t ended 40 years later.

Biden didn’t win the PV by 10 points

[Alben Barkley]

Fox is dumfounded that Biden could get more votes out of Philly than Obama. Only explanation possible must be fraud.

Never mind that this is the highest turnout election since 1896 LOL

[politics_king]

GA going right down to the wire.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,129 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~474,300 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,000 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 9,525 (98% counted)

Of the remaining ~100,647 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 55,091 of them - (54.7%)

PA - Biden down by 90,550 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~488,300 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 289,500 of them - (59.3%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  61.8%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

If GA has only 40,000 votes left, then to make up the gap, Biden needs 61.81% which would let him catch up 9,510 votes.

But he needs 9,525 votes.

Trump would then win GA by 15 votes. So it really comes down to how many votes are remaining to be counted in GA and PA.

PA mail-in votes in Pittsburgh could be where Biden seals it.

Thank you again.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

For some reason, I actually think that, out of all his kids, she would have the best chance in 2024.

[Alben Barkley]

Trump will win imo.

Can you briefly stop posting or something? It is really annoying. Saying Trump is going to win 10 times in slightly different forms gets tedious.

Trump will win GA AZ. SC rules on PA.

Funny thing, when CA and NY are finally all in, Biden will have a larger share of the vote then Reagan in 80.
And that was allegedly a mandate that hasn’t ended 40 years later.

Biden didn’t win the PV by 10 points

He only had that margin because Anderson took votes that mostly likely would have gone to Carter otherwise.

[Ancestral Republican]

Btw, big thanks to Shane Hazel for running as Libertarian in Georgia and being relevant enough to bring Perdue below 50 %. Without her, that wouldn't have happened.

Him

Don't get too excited, he might endorse Perdue.

[LostFellow]

John King on CNN said Chatham County has 17K outstanding votes; my bad math shows that 60% of that alone gets Biden over the line...

That is indeed bad math, since a 60% margin of the 17k votes (Biden winning 80-20) is required for it to cover the current deficit alone. Although that may have been your intention; I think it's not as plausible that Biden will win Chatham absentees 80-20.

I'm not as confident as others about Biden taking the lead by any significant margin, and am currently thinking Biden by 1000 or something. So far, it seems like mail-in votes in deep blue counties are matching or barely exceeding the current margin in those counties, and mail-in votes in swing/red counties are much more democratic than those county margins. To me, it all comes down to how blue the absentee numbers from Chatham and Gwinnett are.

[Astatine]

Btw, big thanks to Shane Hazel for running as Libertarian in Georgia and being relevant enough to bring Perdue below 50 %. Without her, that wouldn't have happened.

Him

Oops, corrected, thanks!

[ProudModerate2]

It would be something of an upset if Trump is still leading after the mail-ins are completely counted. Most likely outcome is Biden by 5k votes or so at this point.

Gwinnett still has 7k or so in addition to Clayton, Chatham and Forsyth.

I believe Clayton, Chatham and Forsyth are the only ones needing to report votes. By my estimates that would net Biden another 9-12k votes. He's currently down by 9k. God help us all.

Oh, I wasn't aware. Biden should have this somewhat easily then.

forsythvoter
Can I ask a favor.
When you quote another post and then type a comment/response, please type what you are saying at the bottom of the quote (and not at the top, like you have been doing).

[Ancestral Republican]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

For some reason, I actually think that, out of all his kids, she would have the best chance in 2024.

Because Republicans are, at their most basic element, thirsty?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Curious; is it possible for say Hazel and Perdue to merge their votes in GA? Same with Loefeller and Collins?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I don't like Ivanka but it's clear that she the least crazy person in the immediate Trump family. She's the only one out of her dad and brothers that has not tweeted about phantom "voter fraud".

I was extremely disappointed, but not surprised, she went back on her pro-choice stance.

[charcuterie]

Curious; is it possible for say Hazel and Perdue to merge their votes in GA? Same with Loefeller and Collins?

No.

[Yoda]

Kind of beautiful being able to look at blue Wisconsin and Michigan again. The 2016 map is so ugly.

Wisconsin is by no means definitely blue. A win by only 21,000 with many questions around absentee and mail in votes leaves plenty of room during the recount for this to swing back to Trump.

Given the corruption that has occurred down at the Detroit vote counting centre, this race will be going on for a while to come.

cry harder

[SN2903]

Can't wait till SC overturns PA

On what basis?

They changed the rules of the game during an election year. It never should have been allowed to happen. The rules should have been clear about counting all along.

Listen man, we all were shocked, sad and in denial back in 2016 when Hillary lost. It's natural. It'll go away and, eventually, you'll learn it's for the better. Denial won't help you.

Hey dude. The race has not been called. There's nothing wrong with having optimism and hope. In 2016 on election night we knew the outcome. This is different.