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February 25, 2021, 02:18:13 AM
Talk Elections
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
2020 U.S. Presidential Election
2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
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Likely Voter
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KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
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Topic: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14% (Read 533 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,805
KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
on:
November 02, 2020, 07:21:58 PM »
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_ks_11.2.20.pdf
Oct 27-Nov 1
1121 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%
Changes with Sep 14-19
Trump 55% (+7)
Biden 41% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 1% (not previously included)
Undecided previously at 7%
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,095
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #1 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM »
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,745
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #2 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:22:51 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
How lmfao
Logged
Oregon Blue Dog
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
Posts: 3,768
Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -3.30
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #3 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:22:57 PM »
Woof.
There goes that pipe dream.
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Western Democrat
YaBB God
Posts: 3,998
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #4 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:23:08 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Bruh
Logged
philly09
Jr. Member
Posts: 731
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #5 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:23:44 PM »
Trump won it by 21 in 2016.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,095
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #6 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:24:08 PM »
Quote from: swf541 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:51 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
How lmfao
Huge swing back to Trump in rural areas since a month ago.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 5,683
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #7 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...
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Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,095
KS: Data 4 Progress: Trump +14
«
Reply #8 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:25:09 PM »
New Poll:
Kansas President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01
Summary: D: 41%, R: 55%, U: 0%
Poll Source URL:
Full Poll Details
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VAR
VARepublican
YaBB God
Posts: 4,757
Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: -1.57
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #9 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:25:52 PM »
Still a decent poll for Trump, all things considered.
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swf541
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,745
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #10 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:26:20 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:24:08 PM
Quote from: swf541 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:51 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
How lmfao
Huge swing back to Trump in rural areas since a month ago.
Yes because Iowa and Kansas vote the same
Logged
DaleCooper
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,945
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #11 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:27:09 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...
All data, no matter what it says, is good for Trump.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,015
Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #12 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:27:20 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
This is slightly better than 2008. If anything it points to the sort of wave in the Midwest that Obama generated.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 5,683
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #13 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:27:38 PM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 02, 2020, 07:27:09 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...
All data, no matter what it says, is good for Trump.
Of course, sorry for being optimistic
Logged
EastOfEden
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,737
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #14 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"
This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.
Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
YaBB God
Posts: 3,584
Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #15 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:44:56 PM »
«
Edited:
November 02, 2020, 07:48:47 PM
by
RussFeingoldWasRobbed »
Sorry I don't uy this.....
Trump is a bad fit for Kansas
Is say he only wins by 7-8
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Skill and Chance
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,831
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #16 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:48:00 PM »
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"
This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.
Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.
Perhaps the Shy Trump factor is in the undecideds?
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,745
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #17 on:
November 02, 2020, 07:49:26 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 02, 2020, 07:48:00 PM
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"
This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.
Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.
Perhaps the Shy Trump factor is in the undecideds?
Could be, or just the undecideds were more hesitant gop friendly voters.
Or could vary by state/region
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Jr. Member
Posts: 571
Re: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
«
Reply #18 on:
November 02, 2020, 08:03:28 PM »
Republicans surge in solid red states during the last days of the campaign.. as do Democrats in solid blue states..
Very predictable.
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