KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 30, 2023, 03:13:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: KS - Data for Progress: Trump +14%  (Read 2162 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,212


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2020, 07:21:58 PM »
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_ks_11.2.20.pdf

Oct 27-Nov 1
1121 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%
Changes with Sep 14-19

Trump 55% (+7)
Biden 41% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 1% (not previously included)

Undecided previously at 7%
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 07:22:34 PM »
Corroborates the Selzer poll. Ugh.
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,918


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 07:22:51 PM »

How lmfao
Logged
Buehler-Kotek Voter 🇺🇦
OBD
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,463
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 07:22:57 PM »
Woof.

There goes that pipe dream.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,511
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 07:23:08 PM »

Bruh
Logged
philly09
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,054


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 07:23:44 PM »
Trump won it by 21 in 2016.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 07:24:08 PM »

Huge swing back to Trump in rural areas since a month ago.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,179


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM »

This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 07:25:09 PM »
New Poll: Kansas President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 41%, R: 55%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,768
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 07:25:52 PM »
Still a decent poll for Trump, all things considered.
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,918


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 07:26:20 PM »

Yes because Iowa and Kansas vote the same
Logged
Your False god Won't Save You
DaleCooper
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,184


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 07:27:09 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM

This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...

All data, no matter what it says, is good for Trump.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,930
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 07:27:20 PM »

This is slightly better than 2008. If anything it points to the sort of wave in the Midwest that Obama generated.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,179


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 07:27:38 PM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 02, 2020, 07:27:09 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 02, 2020, 07:24:42 PM

This shows a 6% shift to the left from 2016...

All data, no matter what it says, is good for Trump.

Of course, sorry for being optimistic
Logged
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,650


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM »

Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"

This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.

Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,537
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 07:44:56 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 07:48:47 PM by RussFeingoldWasRobbed »
Sorry I don't uy this.....
Trump is a bad fit for Kansas
Is say he only wins by 7-8
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,794
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 07:48:00 PM »
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM

Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"

This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.

Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.


Perhaps the Shy Trump factor is in the undecideds? 
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,918


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 07:49:26 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 02, 2020, 07:48:00 PM
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 02, 2020, 07:36:59 PM

Can you read? The part where it says "undecideds previously at 7%?"

This is listed as no undecideds. It's pretty clear what happened.

Also, at 41% Biden is still outperforming Clinton by 5 points.


Perhaps the Shy Trump factor is in the undecideds? 

Could be, or just the undecideds were more hesitant gop friendly voters.

Or could vary by state/region
Logged
AncestralDemocrat.
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,438
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 08:03:28 PM »
Republicans surge in solid red states during the last days of the campaign.. as do Democrats in solid blue states..

Very predictable.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 13 queries.