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December 05, 2020, 12:27:52 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  OH - Rasmussen: Trump+4
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Author Topic: OH - Rasmussen: Trump+4  (Read 506 times)
n1240
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« on: November 02, 2020, 12:14:13 PM »

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/ohio_trump_48_biden_45

after leaners:

Trump 49
Biden 45

10/31-11/1, 800 LV
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swf541
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 12:14:31 PM »

lmfao Tossup Ohio confirmed
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 12:15:37 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
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ηєω Éяσηтιєя
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 12:16:18 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
Are you serious, right now? Huh
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swf541
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 12:16:24 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.

Could also be that people are over estimating Trump's strength in Ohio in this forum.....
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 12:20:59 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
Are you serious, right now? Huh

Yeah, just look at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Ohio_gubernatorial_election

This was in a year with a very similar national environment to the current one, when Dems easily won Gov races in PA and MI, and also carried WI.

Lesson: don't get your hopes up too much about Ohio, it is prone to disappoint (if you are a D, anyway).
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 12:23:59 PM »

Itís possible for Trump to win OH/IA somewhat comfortably (i.e., 4-5 points) and still lose the election in an EC landslide. Just saying...
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lfromnj
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 12:26:51 PM »

Itís possible for Trump to win OH/IA somewhat comfortably (i.e., 4-5 points) and still lose the election in an EC landslide. Just saying...

Thats my prediction Tongue
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 12:29:53 PM »

MoE: 3.5%
Changes with Oct 18-19

Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 45% (-3)
Some other candidate 3% (+1)
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 12:30:04 PM »

Ohio is tossup but very slight tilt trump but well see
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 12:39:47 PM »

What the heck is Biden doing here today?
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 12:41:01 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
Are you serious, right now? Huh

Yeah, just look at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Ohio_gubernatorial_election

This was in a year with a very similar national environment to the current one, when Dems easily won Gov races in PA and MI, and also carried WI.

Lesson: don't get your hopes up too much about Ohio, it is prone to disappoint (if you are a D, anyway).

Two more years of suburban trends in Columbus and Cincinnati + Biden's rebound in rural areas. DeWine was a very strong candidate.

The Biden win is very possible.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 01:01:14 PM »

Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
Are you serious, right now? Huh

Yeah, just look at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Ohio_gubernatorial_election

This was in a year with a very similar national environment to the current one, when Dems easily won Gov races in PA and MI, and also carried WI.

Lesson: don't get your hopes up too much about Ohio, it is prone to disappoint (if you are a D, anyway).

Two more years of suburban trends in Columbus and Cincinnati + Biden's rebound in rural areas. DeWine was a very strong candidate.

The Biden win is very possible.

Literally every Ohio D in 2018 lost by 3 to 5 points. The only exception was Sherrod Brown, not Richard Cordray.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 01:01:27 PM »


The way people ignore other polls and only focus on one they like here is incredible
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jimmie
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 01:04:40 PM »

Itís possible for Trump to win OH/IA somewhat comfortably (i.e., 4-5 points) and still lose the election in an EC landslide. Just saying...

shhh don't people's feelings
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ExSky
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 01:20:20 PM »

Getting very confident of a Biden Ohio victory
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 02:03:06 PM »

QU already polled these races and they polled OH for Biden
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 05:18:12 PM »

New Poll: Ohio President by Rasmussen on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 45%, R: 49%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Southern Governor Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 07:31:42 PM »

Ohio is winnable for Joe. It's almost exactly 50/50 for me at the moment.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 08:17:14 PM »

Rasmussen or not, I still think that trump is favored here and that bellwether Ohio might finally be a thing of the past.
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