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December 03, 2020, 02:58:16 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  AYTM - Biden +9 (NAT), +4 (GA), +2 (PA), +2 (FL)
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Author Topic: AYTM - Biden +9 (NAT), +4 (GA), +2 (PA), +2 (FL)  (Read 659 times)
Horus
Sheliak5
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« on: November 02, 2020, 10:22:17 AM »

10/30-11/1

National - Biden 48/39
Florida - Biden 45/43
Georgia - Biden 52/48
Pennsylvania - Biden 51/49

All LVs

https://blog.aspiration.com/divided-over-the-election-but-ready-to-move-to-clean-money/
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 10:23:47 AM »

Pennsylvania is terrifying right now.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 10:24:45 AM »


Youre scared of your own shadow
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republican1993
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 10:25:45 AM »

republicans are coming out full force tomorrow! gays for trump!
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 10:26:03 AM »

So many polls from pollsters I've never heard of.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 10:26:22 AM »

Georgia voting to the left of Pennsylvania? What a realignment
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 10:27:45 AM »

So many polls from pollsters I've never heard of.

right? literally who are these people
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 10:30:33 AM »

The PA number is a bit weird, but stuff like this makes me worried the tipping point state will vote far to the right of the nation (5%+)
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 10:32:23 AM »

538 included them which is why I posted this but they have no rating and we have no idea how good they are.
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Buzz
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 10:32:50 AM »

Deep Blue GA!
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 10:33:11 AM »

Press X for doubt, but PA is definitely not most worrying from the big 3. FL is looking good, but I don't want to rely on it. Biden better wins it early tomorrow, though, so that we can declare him the winner. Trump isn't winning the election without FL.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 10:33:41 AM »

Small sample sizes in GA and PA. Also no methodology mentioned outside of it being an "online poll".
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n1240
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 10:36:14 AM »

Trying to figure out why they randomly decided to make PA and GA 100% decided whilst FL and national have about 12% undecided.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 10:36:45 AM »

It's happening

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 10:36:48 AM »

Commissioned by Aspiration

Nat - 700 likely voters, MoE: 3.7%, Oct 30-31
FL - 517 likely voters
GA - 380 likely voters
PA - 340 likely voters
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afleitch
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 10:41:18 AM »

Why do US polling outfits do polls based on 400 voters?
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 10:44:12 AM »

With sample sizes this low, there is no point in analyzing Pennsylvania, Georgia.

I'll take the other numbers though
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 10:53:46 AM »

PA and AZ both closing fast this morning. Yikes.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 11:02:01 AM »

PA and AZ both closing fast this morning. Yikes.

If there is a late Trump surge, I really think Georgia is what saves it for Biden.
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ηєω яσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 11:04:08 AM »

PA and AZ both closing fast this morning. Yikes.

If there is a late Trump surge, I really think Georgia is what saves it for Biden.
There is no "late Trump surge".
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Rafe
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2020, 11:14:16 AM »

I just asked my dogs who they would vote for. Guess that makes me an official pollster now. Google Docs release imminent.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2020, 11:25:19 AM »

GA voting left of PA? While I don't think that will happen this year, it would be quite something. #TrendsAreMoreThanReal?
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2020, 11:37:02 AM »

GA voting left of PA? While I don't think that will happen this year, it would be quite something. #TrendsAreMoreThanReal?

I told you people the difference between the two states would be minimal.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2020, 05:24:30 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Other Source on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 51%, R: 49%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2020, 05:24:35 PM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Other Source on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 52%, R: 48%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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