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November 27, 2020, 03:34:49 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  IA-PPP: Greenfield in command
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Greenfield in command  (Read 602 times)
Panda Express
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« on: November 02, 2020, 09:04:21 AM »
« edited: November 02, 2020, 09:07:46 AM by Panda Express »

Greenfield: 48%
Ernst: 47%


source
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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 09:09:34 AM »

Likely R.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 09:09:39 AM »

ď... for the collective sanity of Election Twitter ...Ē aka more Dem fan service from PPP. Election Twitter is almost all Dem.

Iím tempted to change my rating for IA Sen from Tilt D but I still have a gut feeling Geeenfield will eventually pull through...
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 09:13:02 AM »

Nov 1-2
871 voters
Changes with Aug 13-14 poll

Greenfield 48% (n/c)
Ernst 47% (+2)
Not sure 5% (-3)
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 09:17:08 AM »

Great
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jimmie
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 09:18:16 AM »

She isn't in command if she is leading by 1 point in 1 poll.

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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 09:21:22 AM »

My gut feeling (which is rarely wrong) tells me that this poll underestimated Greenfield and that Ernst loses and that it wonít be close (one of the first calls on election night). Hard to take Selzer and Quinnipiac seriously.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 09:27:34 AM »


No, this is Tom Harkins seat, he won 3 terms, Rs think IA and OH will never vote D again and we at 2008 levels of unemployment at 8 percent not 2016 levels of 4
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Pollster
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 09:35:59 AM »

47% Joni
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 10:13:07 AM »

One of the best things you can do in a close race is look in house and see what movement each firm is showing.

One thing that Selzer, PPP and Q all agree on, is late movement towards Ernst. A lead is a lead, but after 2018, if their is a place you don't want to be in Iowa as a Democrat is barely up with movement towards your opponent late in the game.


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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 10:19:55 AM »

The Selzer poll 4 prez was definitely an outlier, but I'm not falling for this. Other IA polling has always get out hopes up before getting disappointed on election day. Greenfield could win for sure, but I would rather bet against it than for. Many sorries, but I'm not getting hopeful on this one.
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 10:28:07 AM »

Iíll give accolades to those who are convinced Greenfield has this if she does win, but I donít think Selzer is going to underestimate Democrats by more than 4, or that PPP will underestimate Democrats here.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 10:52:19 AM »

Definitely worrying that there seems to have been late movement towards Ernst. What could possibly have caused it?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 11:12:20 AM »


No, this is Tom Harkins seat, he won 3 terms, Rs think IA and OH will never vote D again and we at 2008 levels of unemployment at 8 percent not 2016 levels of 4

Missouri elected a Democratic Senator in 2006, while in the midst of its trek towards being as Republican as Indiana.

What it is more indicative of, is Republican incompetence and pissing away Senate seats that they have no business losing, either through bad governance, bad candidate selection or both.
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Estrogen Kefauver
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 12:21:00 PM »

Field Commander Greenfield was our most important spy....
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Election_Ox
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 02:07:11 PM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2020-11-2

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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#SaveTheSenate
VARepublican
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« Reply #16 on: November 11, 2020, 01:17:05 PM »



Lol PPP
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