AL - Data for Progress: Trump +20%
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  AL - Data for Progress: Trump +20%
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Author Topic: AL - Data for Progress: Trump +20%  (Read 1139 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 01, 2020, 10:21:09 PM »

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_al_11.1.20.pdf

Oct 27 - Nov 1
1045 likely voters
MoE: 3%

Trump 58%
Biden 38%
Jorgensen 3%
Hawkins 1%
other candidate or write-in 0%
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 10:23:18 PM »

Yeah like every poll out of Alabama has shown trump by 18-20 lol.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 10:24:52 PM »

Yeah like every poll out of Alabama has shown trump by 18-20 lol.

But Trump is underperforming his 2016 numbers. He won Alabama by 28% against Hillary Clinton last time, and she got only 34%. Biden is getting 38% in this poll, and he's generally received about the same percentage in other Alabama polls.
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philly09
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 10:25:23 PM »

Yeah like every poll out of Alabama has shown trump by 18-20 lol.

But Trump is underperforming his 2016 numbers. He won Alabama by 28% against Hillary Clinton last time, and she got only 34%. Biden is getting 38% in this poll, and he's generally received about the same percentage in other Alabama polls.

Yep, an 8 point swing towards Biden. Curious what MS and LA say.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 10:25:47 PM »

Yeah like every poll out of Alabama has shown trump by 18-20 lol.

But Trump is underperforming his 2016 numbers. He won Alabama by 28% against Hillary Clinton last time, and she got only 34%. Biden is getting 38% in this poll, and he's generally received about the same percentage in other Alabama polls.

Yep, an 8 point swing towards Biden. Curious what MS and LA say.

They have Biden +10 nationally. So consistent w/that.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 10:27:53 PM »

8% from 2016. I think Biden cracks 40% in Alabama but Jones is done
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 11:04:40 PM »

New Poll: Alabama President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 38%, R: 58%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 11:12:04 PM »

Safe R, but these are definitely not reassuring numbers for Trump’s chances in GA and FL.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 11:20:23 PM »

the deep south keeping pace with national trends is an interesting possibility wrt the historical inelasticity
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 11:23:20 PM »

the deep south keeping pace with national trends is an interesting possibility wrt the historical inelasticity

Exactly. This poll is disastrous for Trump.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 11:27:55 PM »

Huntsville moves hard DEM, along with the White 'Burbs of Birmingham, not to mention places along the Gulf Cost Retirees.

Still not nearly enough regardless of shifts in Tuscallosa County, etc....

Looking like Doug Jones will lose, but still ride at least 5-10% points ahead of Biden.

POS Republicans nominated some random "carpet bagger" from FL, football coach from Auburn, and now it looks we have a US-SEN in 2021 who is much less on an idiot than most PUB SENs from the South, but really is under qualified and yet another "joke candidate" representing the last futile gasp of the Republican Party within the New South.

Times they are a changing...

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