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December 05, 2020, 07:32:23 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  TX - Data for Progress: Biden +1
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Author Topic: TX - Data for Progress: Biden +1  (Read 1035 times)
forza nocta
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« on: November 01, 2020, 09:20:44 PM »

Biden 49%
Trump 48%

Oct 27-Nov 1

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_tx_11.1.20.pdf
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philly09
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 09:21:58 PM »

Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee   Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaw!
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soundchaser
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 09:22:17 PM »

THE STARS AT NIGHT
ARE BIG AND BRIGHT
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 09:23:27 PM »

If Biden wins TX, I promise to stop making Texas jokes.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 09:24:10 PM »

Oct 27-Nov 1
926 likely voters
MoE: 3.2%
Changes with Oct 22-25

Biden 49% (n/c)
Trump 48% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 0%

Not sure previously at 2%
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 09:24:58 PM »

Damn, looks like we're in for a very nice little batch of rolling SHOCK POLLS from Data for Progress tonight!
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ηєω яσηтιєя
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 09:25:44 PM »

Is it happening?

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philly09
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 09:27:21 PM »

Has Dave Wasserman "seen enough" yet?
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darthpi really needs a nap tbh
darthpi
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 09:28:47 PM »

Encouraging, though from a firm that I would probably expect encouraging results from. Texas remains up in the air.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 09:29:23 PM »

Has Dave Wasserman "seen enough" yet?

Seems like he's seen a little bit.

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Count All of the Votes
Calm NH Lib
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 09:30:06 PM »

Blue Texas pls.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 09:30:49 PM »

Has Dave Wasserman "seen enough" yet?

Seems like he's seen a little bit.



When does he release his final ratings? Tomorrow night?
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Jayde
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 09:31:31 PM »

Quote
The survey was conducted in English.

Okay then. Biden +1 on an English-only sample.
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morgieb
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 09:32:46 PM »

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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2020, 09:33:37 PM »

Has Dave Wasserman "seen enough" yet?

Seems like he's seen a little bit.



When does he release his final ratings? Tomorrow night?

Wasserman only does the House for Cook and nothing else. Cook also leaves races at tossup, so thats probably Texas's final rating from them. You might be thinking of Sabato which pushes the tossups tonight at midnight in the east, I think.
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ExSky
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2020, 09:48:26 PM »

National election coverage Is going to start shifting from the Rust Belt to the Sunbelt....Im not sure how to feel
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2020, 09:53:26 PM »

I'll take it.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2020, 09:53:41 PM »

If Biden wins TX, I promise to stop making Texas jokes.

I'll still make them, but with less conviction.
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Forumlurker the anti-communist
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2020, 09:57:14 PM »

This will be one of many fun polls to quote in a couple of days.
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Rafe
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2020, 10:00:12 PM »

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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2020, 10:03:59 PM »

Senator HEGAR
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2020, 10:16:19 PM »

Off-topic but I noticed it looking at the timestamps on posts here... does Atlas not observe DST?
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Jayde
trippytropicana
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2020, 10:35:02 PM »

Off-topic but I noticed it looking at the timestamps on posts here... does Atlas not observe DST?

You have to manually change the time settings on your account from DST to standard time.

To do that, go to your profile page, scroll down to the bottom under the modify profile heading and click on Look and Layout Preferences, and then on the time offset section, click "auto detect" and it will update the offset to go off of DST.
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gracile
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2020, 10:35:33 PM »

DFP not polling in Spanish makes me wonder if their polls of the Sunbelt battleground states are underestimating Democrats.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2020, 10:37:26 PM »

DFP not polling in Spanish makes me wonder if their polls of the Sunbelt battleground states are underestimating Democrats.

Yes.

That will add 2-3 points to Biden if true.
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