FL - ABC/WaPo: Trump +2

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/1322751025418280966

Trump 50 (-1)
Biden 48 (+1)

[Bootes Void]

Last poll was Trump +4, so a bit of tightening

[KaiserDave]

meh, good relative to last poll

[Storr]

Last poll was Trump +4, so a bit of tightening

Yeah, not terrible or the end of the World, but still not ideal. Into the averages you go.

[Lief 🗽]

Yup, told you so.

[BudgieForce]

Looking forward to seeing that massive RV-LV split like last time.

[Buzz]

Trump is winning Florida.  I’ve been more worried about my home state of GA for like the last month now.  

[charcuterie]

I would really have liked to see a Biden lead here   But it does represent tightening from the last poll, and at a margin of 2, it could easily flip. We shall see in two days. Two days, everyone.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think the reason why voters are now realizing that Harris is an AA socialist that's why polls are going back Trump


It doesn't really matter whom wins we have our D Govs in blue states and they are gonna be reelected in 2022, in a Covid Environment.

The Prez is really powerless to stop Covid, not on Testing but on a vaccine

[S019]

50-48 lead per article: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/florida-maintains-toss-status-biden-leads-slightly-pennsylvania/story?id=73930623&cid=social_twitter_abcn

[EJ24]

I think the reason why voters are now realizing that Harris is an AA socialist that's why polls are going back Trump

You were pretty coherent for a solid two months or so, now you're back to your old self.

Never change.

[Ferguson97]

Improvement and within the margin of error. Fine with this.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a62020StateBattlegrounds-FLPA.pdf

Oct 24-29
824 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with Sep 15-20

Trump 50% (-1)
Biden 48% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (not previously included)
Hawkins 0% (but some voters) (not previously included)
None of these 0% (but some voters) (-1 from "Neither" at 1%)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c from 0% with no voters)
Would not vote 0% (no voters) (n/c)
No opinion 0% (but some voters) (-1)

[redjohn]

Tossup remains a tossup. We legitimately will have no idea who will win here until election night.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Given how much everyone was freaking out about this poll being "mediocre" after the Selzer poll, I'll definitely take Biden +7 in PA and gaining 2 points over their last poll in FL.

[BudgieForce]

ABC has been one of Trump's best pollsters in Florida. I'm excited to see if Siena lines up with ABC or Monmouth, Marist and Quinnipiac.

[indietraveler]

Tossup.

Reading through the article is just a big reminder that Florida is a really strange place.

[Splash]

Are the statewide ABC/WaPo polls of similar quality to their nationwide polling or is there a material difference?

[BudgieForce]

Are the statewide ABC/WaPo polls of similar quality to their nationwide polling or is there a material difference?

ABC state polls have been pretty bad for Biden in the Sunbelt but some of his best in the Midwest. There methodology is good so I'd say they're both top quality.

[wbrocks67]

Considering how the last one was, and how iffy the ABC/Wapo state polls have been....

[politicallefty]

I've long thought Florida will be within 3% (probably 2%) no matter which it goes. This poll does nothing to change my view. If anything, it reinforces that belief.

[lfromnj]

I've long thought Florida will be within 3% (probably 2%) no matter which it goes. This poll does nothing to change my view. If anything, it reinforces that belief.

Very bold prediction.

[libertpaulian]

Biden isn't going to win Hispanics by only 4%.

[kireev]

R +5 sample.

[swf541]

R +5 sample.

Good for Biden

Given this was Trump's best higher quality Florida pollster the margin moving against him at the end is not particularly good for him....