PA - ABC/WaPo: Biden +7

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/POLITICO_Steve/status/1322751025418280966

Biden 51 (-3)
Trump 44 (-1)

[EJ24]

LET'S SEE IF THIS GETS 17 PAGES

[forza nocta]

Folks, looks like Iowa will be 14 points to the right of PA

[KaiserDave]

excellent, are there any others?

[Buzz]

PA is voting 10 points to the right of WI, great!

[republican1993]

+17 seems more accurate

[Rand]

S C R A N T O N
J O E

[swf541]

But but muh Daily Kos furry "insider"

[EJ24]

PA is voting 10 points to the right of WI, great!

If Iowa ends up Trump +7, that's a 3-point swing to Democrats in a state that wasn't supposed to be competitive.

That's your best case scenario, buddy.

[charcuterie]

Very happy with these numbers. We'll see what pans out later next week, but as long as the votes are counted, PA seems to be leaning towards Biden.

[S019]

51-44 lead per article: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/florida-maintains-toss-status-biden-leads-slightly-pennsylvania/story?id=73930623&cid=social_twitter_abcn

[compucomp]

PA is voting 10 points to the right of WI, great!

Maybe the fact that WI is setting COVID case records every day and their hospitals are filling up is swinging public opinion against Trump. PA comparatively speaking has not been hit as hard.

[indietraveler]

Good. Though I'm not looking forward to the mess if it takes a few days to call this one.

[Buzz]

PA is voting 10 points to the right of WI, great!

If Iowa ends up Trump +7, that's a 3-point swing to Democrats in a state that wasn't supposed to be competitive.

That's your best case scenario, buddy.

How is that my best case scenario? Lol.  He was up 7 in the same poll last time and won by 9.  Anyways this is a PA poll with your candidate up 7!  Quit letting me live rent free in your head =)

[bandg]

49-45 for RV

[Bootes Void]

51-44 seems to be smaller but its enough to win PA on election day. Florida is 50-48, its a nail-biter, down from 51-47

[Ferguson97]

Totally fine with this.

[redjohn]

A 7-point win in PA would be very solid. Remember, eyes on the prize: PA/WI/MI/AZ. If Biden's up by 7 in PA, that's very good news for his chances in the EC.

[EJ24]

PA polls over the last month (excluding trash like Trafalgar and Rasmussen) show Biden leading anywhere from 4-7.

I think Biden +6 is a likely result here, which probably represents a uniform swing by about that margin in the rust belt.

Trump takes Iowa by 4, Ohio by 2, and loses PA, MI, WI by 6 and 7.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a62020StateBattlegrounds-FLPA.pdf

Oct 24-29
810 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with Sep 21-26

Biden 51% (-3)
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (not previously included)
None of these 0% (but some voters) (n/c from "Neither" at 0% but with some voters)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (no voters) (n/c)
No opinion 1% (n/c)

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

I'm fine with this.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Where are all the Trump supporters to spend 17 pages freaking out about their candidate being down by 7 points in the most critical state on the map?

Anyone?

No, we only freak out when a candidate is down 7 points in a 6EV non-swing state that his party lost by 10 points in 2016.

[Splash]

Thanks for the Xanax, ABC/WaPo!

[Bootes Void]

after the selzer poll, this seems fairly relieving as Biden+7 in PA is decent enough to win and could keep Minnesota,Wisc, Mich

[philly09]

There's been a massive GOTV operation in Philly. Debra Messing was in the suburbs, her second visit to this area. Don't let anybody tell you we're slacking.