IA-Selzer: Ernst +4

[VAR]

Ernst 46
Greenfield 42

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/videos/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/iowa-poll-who-likely-voters-supporting-us-senate-joni-ernst-theresa-greenfield-election-day-2020/6087582002/

"TRENDS ARE LOVE, TRENDS ARE LIFE"

[ON Progressive]

Double digits undecided in late October? Is this a joke?

[MplsDem]

Ernst 46, Greenfield 42
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-greenfield-ernst-us-senate-race-voters/6055545002/

[Lief 🗽]

Yup, it's over. Safe R.

[VAR]

I mean, who could’ve possibly seen this coming?

[BudgieForce]

Double digits undecided in late October? Is this a joke?

Yeah, thats frustrating.

[Bootes Void]

Ernst -46
Greenfield-42
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-greenfield-ernst-us-senate-race-voters/6055545002/
https://twitter.com/brianneDMR/status/1322674945432891393

[new_patomic]

Not great, not terrible

[swf541]

Double digits undecided in late October? Is this a joke?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Double digits undecided in late October? Is this a joke?

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Tilt R, closer to lean than tossup..

[President Johnson]

Meh, that probably means this seat isn't flipping. But why so many undecided this close to the election? Come on, man!

Go Ossoff, Warnock and Bullock!

[VAR]

In Iowa, undecideds tend to break for the Republican.

[Buzz]

Game over.

[Bootes Void]

kinda sucks but its undecideds. both greenfield and Ernst will obviously 42% and 46% support

also:

Double digits undecided in late October? Is this a joke?

[swf541]

Way too many undecideds I guess this is the end of them being the gold standard for Iowa if anyone didnt already didnt strip them of that after the prior debacle


Margin is about what I expected tho

[Devils30]

Ossoff is the Dems 51st seat

[SnowLabrador]

Congratulations, Iowa, you're going to give us two more years of McConnell.

[Xing]

Iowa is gonna Iowa, I guess. Six more years for the pig castrator who shot an ad using Obama as shooting practice. That’s the good ol’ “Trumpless” Republican Party for you. Good thing Democrats don’t need this seat to take the Senate, but it’s looking like more of a blue ripple than a blue wave.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I await Wbrocks attempts to try to disregard this. lol.

[DrScholl]

Selzer's probably in a for a miss this year. Far too many undecideds this late in the game. I'm still betting that Greenfield wins.

[Hassan 2022]

Throw it in the average.

[Holmes]

We hate to see it.

[Alben Barkley]

Too many undecideds to be of much use. I’ll concede I probably jumped the gun saying Lean D (in fairness so did some of those forecasts), but it’s a toss-up and I’m not giving up on Greenfield yet.

[Gracile]

Before anyone freaks out about Senate control remaining Republican, this seat was never likely to be the tipping point and there's a whole host of more favorable polling in NC/ME/GA/even MT to go against that idea.