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November 28, 2020, 07:54:49 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  CNN: Kelly +7 in AZ, Peters +12 in MI, Cunningham +3 in NC
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Author Topic: CNN: Kelly +7 in AZ, Peters +12 in MI, Cunningham +3 in NC  (Read 355 times)
#SaveTheSenate
VARepublican
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« on: October 31, 2020, 04:09:43 PM »

AZ
Kelly 52%
McSally 45%

PRES: 50-46 Biden

MI
Peters 52%
James 40%

PRES: 53-41 Biden

NC
Cunningham 47%
Tillis 44%

PRES: 51-45 Biden

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-north-carolina/index.html
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 04:11:59 PM »

Lol Tillis is stuck at 44 it seems no matter the poll
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 04:13:10 PM »

Iím not crazy about the Cunningham number given that they havr Biden +6 in NC.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 04:15:10 PM »

Iím not crazy about the Cunningham number given that they havr Biden +6 in NC.

It would appear that the Biden voters may be undecided, so it seems their likelier to come home since Tillis/Trump are both at the same number (44/45)
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 04:16:37 PM »

Once again, LMAO at STRONG CHALLENGER John James losing by exactly as much as Trump in Michigan at this point.
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ExSky
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2020, 04:22:59 PM »

Looks like a Peters is gonna win by 10-12. I remember some fools thinking otherwise.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2020, 04:32:01 PM »

MI is so over that I can hear Senator Peters' motorcycle from here, but Iím really holding out hope for a Collins and/or Tillis upset.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2020, 04:32:41 PM »

Oct 23-30

AZ
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf

865 likely voters
MoE: 4.1%

Kelly 52%
McSally 45%
None of these 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
No opinion 2%

Among 892 registered voters (MoE: 4%) and considering their last RV poll (Jul 18-24):

Kelly 51% (+1)
McSally 45% (+2)
None of these 2% (-1)
Other 1% (+1 from at 0% but with some voters)
No opinion 2% (-2)

MI
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_mi.pdf

907 likely voters
MoE: 3.8%

Peters 52%
James 40%
Squier (G) 3%
None of these 1%
Other 0% (but some voters)
No opinion 3%

Among 953 registered voters (MoE: 3.8%) and considering their last RV poll (Jul 18-24):

Peters 52% (-2)
James 39% (+1)
Squier (G) 3% (not previously included)
None of these 2% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
No opinion 4% (-2)

NC
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_nc.pdf

901 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with Sep 9-13 (also likely voters)

Cunningham 47% (n/c)
Tillis 44% (-2)
Bray (L) 2% (-1)
Hayes (C) 2% (+1)
None of these 1% (+1 from 0% with no voters)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c from 0% with no voters)
No opinion 2% (-1)
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2020, 04:46:48 PM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by CNN/ORC on 2020-10-30

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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Dominica


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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2020, 04:46:54 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by CNN/ORC on 2020-10-30

Summary: D: 52%, R: 40%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2020, 04:47:00 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by CNN/ORC on 2020-10-30

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2020, 05:45:32 PM »

Lol Tillis is stuck at 44 it seems no matter the poll

Actually this is relatively good for him. Usually it's 43%.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2020, 06:27:52 PM »

I have a hard time remembering the last time I've seen an incumbent win when they're consistently trailing and in the low-mid 40s. In the House polls from 2018, I'm pretty sure they all lost.
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