CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC (user search)
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  CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC  (Read 4196 times)
Hammy
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Posts: 11,702
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« on: October 31, 2020, 05:59:23 PM »

This board needs cleansed from having Chris Cillizza posted directly into it.

Comparison with 2016:

North Carolina was D 48-47 and ended up being R 50-46--again polling over-estimated Dems support here. Similar error would result in 49-48, putting NC in tossup territory.

Arizona was R 49-44, so they overpolled Republicans slightly, though they were the only pollster to over-estimate Dems in 2018 (by a point) while getting the GOP amount right. Based on this, result could land between D 50-48 and D 52-46.

I don't see a CNN poll for Wisconsin or Michigan in 2016.
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