CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC
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May 09, 2021, 08:00:17 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC
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Author Topic: CNN: Biden with clear leads in AZ, WI, MI, NC  (Read 2336 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: October 31, 2020, 04:07:23 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 04:08:56 PM »

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2020, 04:08:59 PM »

You love to see it! Uncle Joe is going to be No. 46 Purple heart
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Reapsow
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2020, 04:09:07 PM »

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1,066,892 Likud voters can't be wrong!
Nathan
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 04:09:26 PM »

I've seen enough. It's clobbering time.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2020, 04:09:40 PM »

Any senate numbers?
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Horus
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2020, 04:10:23 PM »

If that NC number holds the night could be over early. Let's hope and pray.
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UBI man good
Liam
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2020, 04:10:27 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2020, 04:11:02 PM »

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.

I'm fine with it, anything to scare Democrats into voting I'm cool with.
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swf541
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2020, 04:11:32 PM »

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.

I'm fine with it, anything to scare Democrats into voting I'm cool with.
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VAR
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2020, 04:11:46 PM »


Kelly +7
Peters +12
Cunningham +3
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2020, 04:12:30 PM »

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.

I've watched some of CBS News in the past few days, and they went over the "battleground map", pegging Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina as tossup states, with Texas as Lean R and Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as Lean D. While I'm sure that the networks have their own motivations for making their projections, I don't think it's wrong for people to still be mindful as we head into Election Day. Fortunately, from the record high turnout figures we are seeing, it looks like we're not going to suffer from the complacency problem.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2020, 04:13:57 PM »

Trump job approval (LV)
Wisconsin: 45/53 (-8)
Michigan: 42/56 (-14)
Arizona: 47/51 (-4)
North Carolina: 45/52 (-7)
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2020, 04:14:15 PM »


https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-north-carolina/index.html

Kelly 52
McSally 45

Peters 52
James 40

Cunningham 47
Tillis 44
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2020, 04:14:30 PM »

Networks are really still trying to push the horse race narrative. They said "AZ and NC are tight".... 4 and 6 pt leads are not "tight" in states like these.

I've watched some of CBS News in the past few days, and they went over the "battleground map", pegging Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina as tossup states, with Texas as Lean R and Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as Lean D. While I'm sure that the networks have their own motivations for making their projections, I don't think it's wrong for people to still be mindful as we head into Election Day. Fortunately, from the record high turnout figures we are seeing, it looks like we're not going to suffer from the complacency problem.

Checking their map every week for my aggregate map, their map hasn't changed in forever and is based off of YouGov polling.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2020, 04:15:05 PM »

If those NC numbers are even halfway true, GA and FL are flipping.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2020, 04:15:12 PM »

CNN's October 24-29th, 2018 poll of Arizona had Sinema leading 51-47. Gold standard!
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Georgia Democrat in 2021
mollybecky
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2020, 04:16:26 PM »

Tremendous news!  And the analysis that David Challian just put out on CNN was quite informative and detailed.  He points out not only will Trump loseóbut he explains why.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2020, 04:17:06 PM »

Also the utter collapse of John James in nearly all recent polling is hilarious.
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xavier110
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2020, 04:17:19 PM »

At 50 in all. Let's finish him!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2020, 04:18:23 PM »

Finally a high-quality poll of Arizona to push some of that partisan junk out of the system.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2020, 04:19:36 PM »


Thanks. Oofers on those NC numbers (though Cunningham still leads)
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soundchaser
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2020, 04:20:29 PM »

Thanks. Oofers on those NC numbers (though Cunningham still leads)

If Biden's winning NC by this much, Cunningham will win too. No need to worry there.
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kireev
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2020, 04:24:13 PM »
« Edited: October 31, 2020, 04:29:11 PM by kireev »

Interestingly, in AZ Biden is leading by 20% among those who already voted and Trump is leading by 24% among those who plan to vote. The 20% lead for Biden among the first group is great because so far registered Democrats and Republicans have cast roughly the same number of votes in AZ. Same goes for NC where Biden is leading by 22% among those who have already voted, which is a really great result for him looking at the party registration of these voters that we already know. I don't think there is a way to interpret these results other then a good sign for Biden.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2020, 04:24:54 PM »

Thanks. Oofers on those NC numbers (though Cunningham still leads)

If Biden's winning NC by this much, Cunningham will win too. No need to worry there.

I hate, hate, hate the undecideds. I'm preparing myself for a Bill Nelson result here as a possibility.
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