In the long term, will the Democrats have an advantage in the popular vote?
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  In the long term, will the Democrats have an advantage in the popular vote?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: In the long term, will the Democrats have an advantage in the popular vote?  (Read 316 times)
AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 07:42:09 PM »
I'm not asking if Republicans have a chance at winning the popular vote in the next few elections. But in general, will they struggle to do so? What would it take for the popular vote to become closer to neutral?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 07:46:03 PM »
If the political centre of gravity becomes a neutral electoral college as opposed to a neutral popular vote and Republicans maintain an EC advantage relative to the PV, then this seems more likely than not and would have implications for midterms, reach states in waves etc.. "R+1 state" would refer to a Democratic-leaning state more often than not in this context.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 10:51:58 PM »
Like a better Republican performance in the electoral college, it'll most likely take a stronger Republican floor with stronger performance among minorities.
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Orser67
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2020, 07:57:32 AM »
Dems already have an advantage in the popular vote, having won it in six of the last seven elections. With the GOP reliance on fading demographics, I don't see any reason that would change.
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