CCES/YouGov: Biden +8

[Alben Barkley]

Also, lol plugging this into the Cook-swing-meter still gives Biden the 413 map.

It’s happening!

[Alben Barkley]

I wish the margin was larger.

So do I, this really isn't that great.

An 8 point win is a comfortable win that as noted could still even mean the 413 map. It would be the largest winning margin since 1996. Would it be nice if it was even larger? Sure. But Biden ain’t losing the EC if he’s winning by 8 points.

[Alben Barkley]

I wish the margin was larger.

So do I, this really isn't that great.

Oh Jesus Christ. An 8 point win would be the largest since 1984 but of course it “isn’t that great.” Do people here honestly believe Biden needs to win by 15 to take the electoral college. A popular vote win by half this size is likely still a Biden win.

I think it’s 1996 (Clinton won by about 9 IIRC) but otherwise, totally agree.

Oh and considering how much more polarized we are than we were in the 80s or 90s, an 8 point win would be essentially a blowout equivalent to a double digit win back then. If he actually DOES get a double digit win? Well considering the polarization, that might arguably be an even more impressive feat than Reagan’s 49 state landslide in 1984.