CCES/YouGov: Biden +8

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I wish the margin was larger.

So do I, this really isn't that great.

Oh Jesus Christ. An 8 point win would be the largest since 1984 but of course it “isn’t that great.” Do people here honestly believe Biden needs to win by 15 to take the electoral college. A popular vote win by half this size is likely still a Biden win.

I think it’s 1996 (Clinton won by about 9 IIRC) but otherwise, totally agree.

Oh and considering how much more polarized we are than we were in the 80s or 90s, an 8 point win would be essentially a blowout equivalent to a double digit win back then. If he actually DOES get a double digit win? Well considering the polarization, that might arguably be an even more impressive feat than Reagan’s 49 state landslide in 1984.

GHWB only won by 7.7 in 1988 but in hindsight it seemed much larger because of the electoral college landslide.

That one always throws me for a loop.