IA-Quinnipiac: Ernst +2

[wbrocks67]

Can't wait for this thread to get upwards of five pages while the Greenfield +6 poll from yesterday goes ignored.

Was just gonna say this. Love that Greenfield has led in over 75% of the polls of this race, and other than Emerson, the only ones Ernst has led have been by 1. Meanwhile this poll has Greenfield and Ernst tied at 18-34 year olds. Sure jan.

Glad we're just pretending like the +6 Greenfield poll doesn't exist though!

[wbrocks67]

Just an FYI, polls underestimated Republicans in Iowa by 4 on average in 2016 and 2018.

Does not necessarily mean the same thing will happen this year

[wbrocks67]

absolutely cannot wait for Greenfield to win so people in this thread look ridiculous bc Ernst was +1 in a few polls

[wbrocks67]

I always admit it when I'm wrong about a race (I ate plenty of crow when Beshear won), and I'll admit I was wrong about this race if Greenfield wins (though I'm not saying she can't, I don't think anyone is.) I hope the same goes for people assuming that IA polling will be spot on and that Greenfield will win.

I think the race is pretty much Tilt D and I feel like the data reflects that. Greenfield's average is still about +3/4, so she would need another IA-style miss to lose IMO. But that's not assured.