NH-ARG: Sununu +5

[VAR]

Sununu 51%
Feltes 46%

https://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/nhgov20/

[ON Progressive]

I will never understand why so many Democrats like Sununu when he’s not even pretending to be moderate on literally anything.

[One Term Floridian]

It would take a big upset for Sununu to lose. Borderline Safe R

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

October 26-28
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with September 25-28

Sununu (R) 51% (-1)
Feltes (D) 46% (+2)
Perry (L/Atlas Blog-aligned) 1% (+1)
Undecided 2% (-1)

[Xing]

Given that this same poll has Biden up by 19, I'm not buying it. Safe R.

[Hassan 2022]

I buy this poll more than the ones showing Sununu up by over 20 percentage points. Kelly was projected to lose by a similarly wide margin in 2018 and ended up closing the gap significantly in the final week, but still ended up losing. Obviously I expect Sununu to win again (ugh), but it's going to be closer than this. Lean R.

[MR. KAYNE WEST]

Upset of night Sununu losing
Upset AK Gross winning

[President Johnson]

I will never understand why so many Democrats like Sununu when he’s not even pretending to be moderate on literally anything.

Yeah, he's not Charlie Baker or Phil Scott. But New Hampshire is still more Republican leading than Vermont or Massachusetts. And the reason Shaheen is doing well is, besides national environment, because the Republicans have utterly failed to field a strong candidate.

[Chips]

I will never understand why so many Democrats like Sununu when he’s not even pretending to be moderate on literally anything.

His big lead isn't because he's necessarily going to run up the Dem vote but run up the independent vote. He's pro-Trump enough to keep the Trumpers by his side but not enough to sway independents away from him.

[Lief 🐋]

New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by ARG on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 46%, R: 51%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details