AK - Gravis: Trump +9%
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  AK - Gravis: Trump +9%
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Author Topic: AK - Gravis: Trump +9%  (Read 455 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 08:06:09 AM »

https://www.scribd.com/document/482078454/Alaska-October-28-2020

October 26-28
770 likely voters
MOE: 3.5%

Trump 52%
Biden 43%
Uncertain 5%
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 08:07:25 AM »

Alaska is going to be much closer than this.
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Adam Griffin
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Greece


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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 08:09:37 AM »

It's possible given Alaska's propensity for third-party voting in general and how amplified 3P vote was due to well-known factors 4 years ago, but I have a hard time seeing Trump getting a larger share of the vote than he did in 2016.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 10:39:03 AM »

Jesse Ventura will be an interesting factor here.
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kireev
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 10:42:27 AM »

The sample is Trump 54%, Clinton 28% in 2016. So Trump +26%. In reality it was Trump +15. Come on, that's not even close.
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redjohn
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 10:45:41 AM »

This would be the best Presidential performance by a Democrat in AK since 1964 in terms of vote share. There's a blue wave coming, it seems.
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