AK - Gravis: Sullivan +3%, Young +5%
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  AK - Gravis: Sullivan +3%, Young +5%
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Author Topic: AK - Gravis: Sullivan +3%, Young +5%  (Read 553 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 08:05:37 AM »

https://www.scribd.com/document/482078454/Alaska-October-28-2020

October 26-28
770 likely voters
MOE: 3.5%

Sullivan 48%
Gross 45%
Uncertain 7%

Young 49%
Galvin 44%
Uncertain 7%
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 08:59:14 AM »

Neither of these races are out of reach if Democrats can really juice turnout in Anchorage.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 09:20:53 AM »

They said it's gonna take weeks to count absentee ballots in AK, the House and Senate race will be last to be called

Progressive Moderate maps don't matter now anyways we are in the final countdown, predicting is over, projections like our maps show are more useful

I recommended to him to do a prediction and he said he doesn't do them
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 09:23:25 AM »

Neither of these races are out of reach if Democrats can really juice turnout in Anchorage.

I thought Anchorage was the GOP base in Alaska and Dems got their votes from rural areas?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 09:46:44 AM »

Neither of these races are out of reach if Democrats can really juice turnout in Anchorage.

I thought Anchorage was the GOP base in Alaska and Dems got their votes from rural areas?

Thatís seems to slowly be flipping on its head, sort of.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 10:12:44 AM »

This same poll has Trump up 9, so Gross is closer to the type of overperformance he needs to win, but I still think many seats flip before this one.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 10:15:49 AM »

This same poll has Trump up 9, so Gross is closer to the type of overperformance he needs to win, but I still think many seats flip before this one.

Indeed. It's a good poll for Gross, but there's a catch: it's Gravis. Toss it into the average but give it a very low weighting.
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Pollster
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 10:20:42 AM »

Senate/House numbers are much more in line with what we're seeing than the Presidential numbers.

There's a chance we don't know the winners in these races for quite some time.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 09:26:45 PM »

New Poll: Alaska Senator by Gravis Marketing on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 0%, R: 48%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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