GA, MI, NC, TX - Citizen Data: Democrats lead in all states but Texas (tied)
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  GA, MI, NC, TX - Citizen Data: Democrats lead in all states but Texas (tied)
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Author Topic: GA, MI, NC, TX - Citizen Data: Democrats lead in all states but Texas (tied)  (Read 423 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Concerned Citizen
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« on: October 29, 2020, 07:53:11 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2020, 10:41:15 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

October 17-20
1000 likely voters in each state
MoE: 3.1% in each state

Ossoff +7%
Ossoff 47%
Perdue 41%
Other 5%
Unsure 8%

Warnock +18%
Warnock 41%
Loeffler 23%
Collins 19%
Lieberman 4%
Other 3%
Tarver 1%
Unsure 10%

Peters +4%
Peters 46%
James 42%
Other 1%
Unsure 10%

Cunningham +6%
Cunningham 48%
Tillis 42%
Other 3%
Unsure 6%

TIED
Cornyn 41%
Hegar 41%
Other 4%
Unsure 15%
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Mr. Kanye West
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 53,861
Jamaica


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E: -6.84, S: -0.17

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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 08:06:15 AM »

Xing should be hearing about this HEGAR leading in TX
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
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Posts: 24,988
United States


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E: -6.26, S: -4.96

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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 10:27:04 AM »

Xing should be hearing about this HEGAR leading in TX

Wow, I'm getting so much attention from OC. My six-year tenure at Atlas has finally paid off!

I could certainly see Hegar winning, and while I don't think she'll win by 5, the polls showing Cornyn up by high single digits were probably always exaggerated. If Hegar does win, though, Republicans are probably looking at 47 seats at the most, and quite possibly fewer.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 10:41:27 AM »

The "corrected" poll has the Texas race as a tie.
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Stuart98
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Posts: 1,218
United States


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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 10:52:23 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 10:55:36 AM by Stuart98 »

The "corrected" poll has the Texas race as a tie.

Hegar winning without leading in a single poll is still possible!

Ridiculous number of undecideds though.

Crosstabs make zero sense. 94% voted in 2016 in a state that's going to eclipse 2016 total turnout before election day? Junk this.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 09:35:17 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Other Source on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 09:35:25 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Other Source on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 41%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 09:35:30 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Other Source on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 09:35:52 PM »

New Poll: Texas Senator by Other Source on 2020-10-20

Summary: D: 41%, R: 41%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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