Citizen Data: Biden +4 in TX, more states
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  Citizen Data: Biden +4 in TX, more states
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Author Topic: Citizen Data: Biden +4 in TX, more states  (Read 2284 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 29, 2020, 07:29:31 AM »
« edited: October 29, 2020, 09:58:11 AM by VARepublican »

FL
Biden 50%
Trump 45%

GA
Biden 48%
Trump 43%

MI
Biden 50%
Trump 42%

NC
Biden 50%
Trump 43%

OH
Trump 44%
Biden 43%

PA
Biden 50%
Trump 45%

TX
Biden 49%
Trump 45%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 07:32:29 AM »

Skeptical, I am.  They also have Hegar +5 in Texas.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 07:33:05 AM »

Incoming TX 11 points left of OH!
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 07:34:11 AM »

The rest of the polls look somewhat reasonable but yeah +10 in TX is a major outlier.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 07:35:07 AM »

Add it to the average!
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 07:36:10 AM »

I mean, I would love to see the conservative talking head reactions on tv if Texas was somehow Biden +10, would be tv gold lol
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Rand
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 07:42:57 AM »

Come on, man.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 07:43:47 AM »

Who are these guys? Other than the extreme outlier involving Texas, it is conventional.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 07:44:05 AM »

+10 in TX is unrealistic, especially considering hes not doing particularly great in the other states
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2020, 07:46:08 AM »

Yeah, everything seems normal except that Texas whopper.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2020, 07:48:03 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 10:40:17 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

October 17-20
1000 likely voters in each state
MoE: 3.1% in each state

FL: Biden +5%
Biden 50%
Trump 45%
Other 1%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 4%

GA: Biden +5%
Biden 48%
Trump 44%
Other 2%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 5%

MI: Biden +8%
Biden 50%
Trump 41%
Jorgensen 1%
Other 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 7%

NC: Biden +7%
Biden 50%
Trump 44%
Other 1%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 4%

OH: Trump +1%
Trump 44%
Biden 43%
Jorgensen 2%
Other 2%
Hawkins 1%
Unsure 8%

PA: Biden +5%
Biden 44%
Trump 39%
Jorgensen 9%
Other 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 7%

TX: Biden +4%
Biden 49%
Trump 45%
Jorgensen 1%
Other 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Unsure 4%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2020, 07:52:14 AM »

Imagine if this TX poll ends up being accurate...
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Person Man
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2020, 07:54:23 AM »

I wish...
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YE
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2020, 07:55:26 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 08:05:51 AM by YE »

Very rousy poll overall yet Trump is still up in OH.
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cvparty
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2020, 08:00:12 AM »

RCP better add this sh!t
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Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2020, 08:05:14 AM »

Oddly enough, those Pennsylvania numbers aren't terrible for Trump
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2020, 08:13:53 AM »

+10 in TX is unrealistic, especially considering hes not doing particularly great in the other states

Time for you to change TX to blue on your maps and KS and MT
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2020, 08:18:08 AM »

Oh god the unsure amounts in some of these are ridiculous.

But ya know, add this to the avg bc this will balance out those terrible Trump +5 TX polls that are also clearly outliers
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swf541
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2020, 08:18:45 AM »

Put it in the average
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2020, 08:25:42 AM »


Why you wish, Cook made TX a tossup
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2020, 08:27:08 AM »

What the heck?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2020, 08:28:26 AM »

lol
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n1240
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2020, 08:28:49 AM »

Jorgensen at 9% in PA also seems unreasonable.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2020, 08:31:23 AM »


Don't be mad when you can't change your map after Monday when Ds won MT, KS, GA and TX.....

This is a Covid Environment, not known since 1918 not a normal election
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #24 on: October 29, 2020, 08:33:09 AM »


Don't be mad when you can't change your map after Monday when Ds won MT, KS, GA and TX.....

This is a Covid Environment, not known since 1918 not a normal election

I think Biden wins Texas, just not by 10 points.
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