GA (PPP): Ossoff +3, Warnock at 46
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  GA (PPP): Ossoff +3, Warnock at 46
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Author Topic: GA (PPP): Ossoff +3, Warnock at 46  (Read 1423 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 29, 2020, 07:05:14 AM »

Ossoff 47
Perdue 44
Hazel 3
Not sure 6

Ossoff fav 42/43 (-1)
Perdue fav 39/49 (-10)

Warnock 46
Loeffler 27
Collins 19
Lieberman 2
Tarver 0
Someone else 2
Undecied 4

Loeffler approval: 30/48 (-18)
Collins fav: 26/40 (-14)
Warnock fav: 48/27 (+21)

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/GeorgiaResults102820.pdf
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2020, 07:05:58 AM »

Wow, Ossoff might well win this without a runoff.
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VAR
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2020, 07:06:57 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 07:10:21 AM by VARepublican »

Quote
Perdue fav: 39/49 (-10)

Atlas: No one cares about Perdue intentionally mispronouncing his colleague’s name. It’s not going to move votes.

*Perdue starts underperforming Trump*

Atlas: Shrill Joni Ernst doesn’t know the price of soybeans?! What a disaster. She’s going to collapse in the polls.

*race virtually unchanged*

Also,

Seriously, notice whenever Atlas is bashing someone's "candidate quality", it is almost always a woman.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2020, 07:12:11 AM »

Quote
Perdue fav: 39/49 (-10)

Atlas: No one cares about Perdue intentionally mispronouncing his colleague’s name. It’s not going to move votes.

*Perdue starts underperforming Trump*

Atlas: Shrill Joni Ernst doesn’t know the price of soybeans?! What a disaster. She’s going to collapse in the polls.

*race virtually unchanged*

Also,

Seriously, notice whenever Atlas is bashing someone's "candidate quality", it is almost always a woman.


You mean like Bottlenose Beluga?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2020, 07:32:24 AM »

October 27-28
661 voters
Changes with October 8-9

Ossoff 47 (+3)
Perdue 44 (+1)
Hazel 3 (-1)
Not sure 6 (-2)

Warnock 46 (+5)
Loeffler 27 (+3)
Collins 19 (-3)
Lieberman 2 (-1)
Tarver 0 (n/c)
Someone else 2 (n/c)
Undecied 4 (-4)
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2020, 07:34:35 AM »

I have a really good feeling about Georgia
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2020, 07:42:31 AM »


MAYBE (still doubt it) Biden but the Senate races are not happening

Would love to be wrong of course
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2020, 07:54:28 AM »

Also,

Seriously, notice whenever Atlas is bashing someone's "candidate quality", it is almost always a woman.


Umm, Atllas trashed non-stop during the summer both Ossoff and Warnock as terrible candidates that were blowing winnable races.
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OneJ
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2020, 08:04:04 AM »

It'd be the icing on the cake if Warnock could win with over 50 avoiding the runoff along with Ossoff.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2020, 08:05:29 AM »

Lean D
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2020, 08:25:58 AM »

It'd be the icing on the cake if Warnock could win with over 50 avoiding the runoff along with Ossoff.

The fact that his fav is at 48 makes me think he could really do this. It will be really unfortunate if it he gets to 48/49 and could've gotten to 50 without Liebermann/Tarver
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2020, 08:53:41 AM »

PPP had Kemp & Abrams tied at 46% in their final poll  which is pretty accurate when you account for the 7% undecideds that eventually broke for both the candidates 60-40 respectively.

By my math, if the undecideds break in similar proportions, Biden will win 48.8 to 47.2 and Ossoff will come out ahead but not enough to avoid a runoff at 49.4 to 47.6.

Of course, that's assuming that the third party vote ends up matching their current polling levels.
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2020, 10:15:21 AM »


MAYBE (still doubt it) Biden but the Senate races are not happening

Would love to be wrong of course

Yeah, I'm also still upset that Senator Rosen didn't happen.

Anyway, GA is looking good for Democrats, and they don't tend to underperform their polling in this state.
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Pollster
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2020, 10:30:20 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2020, 12:35:30 PM by Pollster »

Also,

Seriously, notice whenever Atlas is bashing someone's "candidate quality", it is almost always a woman.


Umm, Atllas trashed non-stop during the summer both Ossoff and Warnock as terrible candidates that were blowing winnable races.

I'll admit to being a massive Ossoff skeptic when he got in, but have been astoundingly impressed by the smart and extremely disciplined campaign he has run. Given GA's trends, he could hold this seat for a generation.

The Warnock dooming was always absurd, and a very good example of how Atlas often takes a 30,000 foot view of these races. Warnock's campaign correctly made multiple key assumptions:

1) His campaign's messaging and targeting was going to be extremely dependent on who he shared the ticket with, meaning he needed to allow all Democratic primaries to resolve themselves before he could employ full strategy.

2) Stockpiling money early on would allow him to be much more visible when it actually mattered.

3) Loeffler and Collins would go nuclear on each other, dragging each other down and allowing him to run an exclusively positive, broad-message (i.e. not primary-esque) campaign, which he successfully did as evidenced by his massive favorability numbers here.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2020, 10:34:03 AM »

Yeah, in effect, it was incredibly smart for Warnock to wait until later in the game (when people started to actually tune in) to really push his campaign.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2020, 09:28:11 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2020-10-28

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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