FL (NBC/Marist): Biden +4

[TheLaRocca]

Looks about right. I think Biden could win here by a surprisingly big margin (i.e. 2-3%).

Weren't you dooming about Florida (albeit not about the election as a whole) as recently as earlier this morning?

He was likely kidding.

I think Biden wins Florida at this point. But NC goes for Trump.

[TheLaRocca]

I think Biden wins Florida at this point. But NC goes for Trump.

If anything, I would bet on the opposite.

Why

FL was more
Democrat in 2016 even though this forum seems
To want to forget that.

NC has more rural vote for trump to improve in!

[TheLaRocca]

Doesn't weight by education,, in the trash it goes

Marist weighs be income for what its worth.

Trump’s base is low education high income though

Trump's base is low education, low income. Trump was the first Republican ever to do better with low income white voters than high income white voters.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/28/opinion/trump-white-voters.html

You guys miss the biggest point....that’s the case with every republican....Bush, Kerry, and Gore.

Trumps base is much more lower income and less affluent then Bush.