WI (Trafalgar): Biden +1
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  WI (Trafalgar): Biden +1
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Author Topic: WI (Trafalgar): Biden +1  (Read 2514 times)
Buzz
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« on: October 28, 2020, 02:48:55 PM »


** I do not endorse this poll **
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Asta
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 02:49:34 PM »

lol Trafalgar strikes again with their +1
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 02:50:07 PM »

Only 17 points off from ABC/Washington Post.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 02:50:17 PM »

The Biden Train is coming into the station
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 02:50:28 PM »

Given that it's Trafalgar: Safe Biden
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EJ24
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 02:50:56 PM »

Trashfalgar joke poll can't find a lead for Trump in Wisconsin.

Game over.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 02:52:02 PM »

Wow! Biden really is up 17!
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Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 02:54:24 PM »

Safe D
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 03:02:04 PM »

I take it that Cahaly is trying to gain some semblance of authenticity and to stay in business after this election.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 03:03:14 PM »

BTW, who said that RCP no longer includes Trafalgar in their aggregates?
Of course they do.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 03:25:36 PM »

Like the PA poll, this one isn’t yet in the 538 aggregate. They appear to have frozen the input of Trafalgar polls without removing the old ones.
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mijan
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 03:31:56 PM »

Like the PA poll, this one isn’t yet in the 538 aggregate. They appear to have frozen the input of Trafalgar polls without removing the old ones.
They(RCP) added it now.
So, don't give them credit. They are real shy Republicans.
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RBH
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 03:37:28 PM »

they have crosstabs for this one!

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JUtEW3UCKQi33nZ8hYdItUZ2w_aIIUTk/view

Highlights

Trump leads 54-42 among voters 18-24

Trump is winning 20% of Black voters and 39% of Hispanics

Biden leads 69-28 among Democrats, Trump leads 64-30 among Republicans. Biden leads 53-39 among Independents.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 03:39:52 PM »

they have crosstabs for this one!

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JUtEW3UCKQi33nZ8hYdItUZ2w_aIIUTk/view

Highlights

Trump leads 54-42 among voters 18-24

Trump is winning 20% of Black voters and 39% of Hispanics

Biden leads 69-28 among Democrats, Trump leads 64-30 among Republicans. Biden leads 53-39 among Independents.
Live look at these crosstabs:

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Wrenchmob
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 03:41:00 PM »

Trumpfalgar has Biden winning? Safe Biden.

End of discussion.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 04:26:40 PM »

I would suggest that going forward, we should not entirely ban the posting of Trafalgar polls, but they should be confined to the “Election What-Ifs?” forum.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2020, 04:30:44 PM »

Trashfalgar joke poll can't find a lead for Trump in Wisconsin.

Game over.
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Hammy
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 04:33:01 PM »

Given that they still over-poll Republicans this really is game over as long as all the ballots are counted--if Trafalgar can't show him leading, there is no lead.
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roxas11
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2020, 04:35:05 PM »

A great poll for Biden

If even Trafalgar can not give Trump a lead in WI
Than He is in very big trouble in this state
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roxas11
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2020, 04:40:49 PM »

they have crosstabs for this one!

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JUtEW3UCKQi33nZ8hYdItUZ2w_aIIUTk/view

Highlights

Trump leads 54-42 among voters 18-24

Trump is winning 20% of Black voters and 39% of Hispanics


Biden leads 69-28 among Democrats, Trump leads 64-30 among Republicans. Biden leads 53-39 among Independents.

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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2020, 04:43:08 PM »

I take it that Cahaly is trying to gain some semblance of authenticity and to stay in business after this election.

He's going to have Biden+1 in every "swing state" at the end so he can say he called it correctly even when Biden wins some of those states by double digits.

The crosstabs look incredibly obviously fake (those partisan numbers, for one).
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2020, 04:44:02 PM »

17 points swing in one day. Impressive!
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Xing
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« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2020, 05:11:58 PM »

I think people have more PTSD about this state than MI/PA, but putting aside "gut feelings" and "muh 2016", if even this pollster can't find Trump ahead in Wisconsin, it's very hard to see how he wins it.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2020, 09:09:29 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Trafalgar Group on 2020-10-25

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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