MI-NYT/Siena: Biden +8
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  MI-NYT/Siena: Biden +8		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MI-NYT/Siena: Biden +8  (Read 1429 times)
VAR
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« on: October 28, 2020, 12:22:34 PM »
Biden 49%
Trump 41%

SEN: 49-41 Peters

https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mi102320-crosstabs/9308372de600fa49/full.pdf
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 12:22:47 PM »
Good for Trump.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 12:23:07 PM »
Sounds about right, consistent with a Biden +10 lead nationally.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 12:23:19 PM »
Biden winning Michigan by 8 is pretty much exactly what I expect.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 12:23:37 PM »
All the handwringing about Peters. LOL.

Though inexcusable also for Nate to still have 10% undecided/other. 6 days before the election.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 12:23:56 PM »
I have no worries about Biden in this state, so it’s good to see Peters running even with him.
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redjohn
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 12:24:08 PM »
A disaster is brewing in the midwest for Trump.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 12:24:14 PM »
This is my prediction
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Orser67
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 12:25:04 PM »
The presidential numbers are perfectly fine, but the best news here imo is that Peters is running even with Biden
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Splash
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 12:26:56 PM »
Yeah, I think we're settling somewhere between an 8-9% win for Biden here. That might be enough to flip Macomb - we'll see.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 12:27:33 PM »
Trump approval: 44/52 (-8)

Trump fav: 46/51 (-5)
Biden fav: 51/44 (+7)
Peters fav: 49/35 (+14)
James fav: 44/38 (+6)

This may even be overselling Trump. His fav is not -5 in MI.
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n1240
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 12:31:51 PM »
61% of Dems have already voted and 24% of Republicans in this poll. Meanwhile, the clowns at TargetSmart think the partisan breakdown of those who already voted is 43/38/19 D/R/I.
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kireev
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 12:32:35 PM »
11% black, Trump +3% in 2016. It's definitely not a Biden-friendly sample...
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 12:32:48 PM »
https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mi102320-crosstabs/9308372de600fa49/full.pdf

October 23-26
856 likely voters
MoE: 3.8%
Changes with October 6-11

Biden 49% (+1)
Trump 41% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Not voting for President 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Someone else 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Don't know/Refused 6% (-2)
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Rand
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 12:34:33 PM »


W O L V E R I N E     J O E
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 12:35:32 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 28, 2020, 12:32:35 PM
11% black, Trump +3% in 2016. It's definitely not a Biden-friendly sample...

and 8% of blacks are still undecided here too.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2020, 12:37:47 PM »
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 12:24:08 PM
A disaster is brewing in the midwest for Trump.

But I was told by TheLaRocca that Biden won't win any midwestern state by more than 5 at best?
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 01:28:00 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 28, 2020, 12:37:47 PM
Quote from: Beida on October 28, 2020, 12:24:08 PM
A disaster is brewing in the midwest for Trump.

But I was told by TheLaRocca that Biden won't win any midwestern state by more than 5 at best?

He won’t. If he does it’s just because he’s winning by over 10% or some ridicolous margin.

If you’ve missed the past 4 years midwestern polling is complete trash.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2020, 01:28:47 PM »
Yeah, it's fine.
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VAR
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2020, 01:39:48 PM »
My guess is Biden flips the state by 6-7%.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2020, 08:50:21 PM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 28, 2020, 01:39:48 PM
My guess is Biden flips the state by 6-7%.

Yeah at this rate 6-7%
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2020, 09:17:51 PM »
New Poll: Michigan President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-10-26

Summary: D: 49%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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