WI (Marquette): Biden +5
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  WI (Marquette): Biden +5		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: WI (Marquette): Biden +5  (Read 4262 times)
MplsDem
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« on: October 28, 2020, 12:16:03 PM »
« edited: October 28, 2020, 12:26:34 PM by MplsDem »
Biden 48, Trump 43

749 LV
MoE 4.4
10/21-10/25

When undecideds/refused are allocated based on Trump/Biden favorables, each candidate gets a 2% bump, making the overall result 50-45 Biden.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 12:16:26 PM »
Umm
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 12:16:31 PM »
Bruh moment
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 12:16:41 PM »
Whatever. Marquette may be being too conservative here.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 12:17:00 PM »
I'll take it.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 12:17:05 PM »
Neither side will like this poll
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 12:17:53 PM »
Ugh
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 12:18:17 PM »
I see they went to the NYT/Sienna school of not pushing leaners.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 12:18:27 PM »
ABC was a clear outlier but the fact Trump is at 43% should tell you the stare of the race
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 12:18:31 PM »
Into the average.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2020, 12:18:36 PM »
8% undecided? C'mon.
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Buzz
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2020, 12:18:53 PM »
This seems spot on with the final result probably being 50-47.  
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:03 PM »
“But there’s no tightening!”
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:14 PM »
LMAO we all knew this was coming. This poll has literally been around Biden +5 for *months* now. Them not pushing 8% of voters though is inexcusable.
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:31 PM »
Trump only needs 87.5% + 1 voter of undecideds to win this.

Good for Trump.
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Horus
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:35 PM »
If we hadn't just had a Wisconsin +17 poll I'd be panicking right now.
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Zanas
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:54 PM »
Jorgensen 2
Other/Undecided/Don't vote (not clear atm) 8

Seems a bit too cautious, I actually think it will be wider when all is said and done
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 12:19:57 PM »

There isn't.  This poll has been consistently Biden +4/5.  They have a strict LV model.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #18 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:03 PM »
What was the last one at?
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Skye
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:35 PM »
Suddenly the ABC/WaPo poll doesn't exist, it seems.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #20 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:37 PM »

The last Marquette poll was also Biden +5, except he was at 46 at that point, and he's at 48 now. This is not how tightening works.

Any questions?
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #21 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:44 PM »

Biden +4 LV
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #22 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:52 PM »
When was the last time this poll moved more than a point?
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #23 on: October 28, 2020, 12:20:57 PM »
Also the election is in less than a week. Push the undecideds!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: October 28, 2020, 12:21:04 PM »
Lol wut
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