2016 Poll: +48% Clinton (67-19%)
2016 Exit Polls: +38% Clinton (66-28%)
From a Florida perspective, I cannot fathom a way that this poll is bad for Trump given the polling bias. In 2016, Clinton did 7 points better among Hispanics in Florida than Biden is doing in this poll, and two 2016 polls with Spanish Interpreters overestimated Clintons support among Cubans.
If there's a single thing that people on this forum need to understand that they don't, its that exit polls are *very* incorrect about lots of things. National exit polls showed that Hillary won Latinos by 38 points, but people who have actually analyzed voter files + precinct data think she won them by more like 46.
Exit polls do lots of other things very badly too: they constantly overestimate the size of the youth vote, always show democrats doing several points better among whites than they actually do, etc. You shouldn't take them as gospel!
