NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Cunningham +7%
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  NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Cunningham +7%
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Author Topic: NC - RMG Research/PoliticalIQ: Cunningham +7%  (Read 811 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 28, 2020, 09:22:22 AM »

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/nc-senate-cunningham-d-49-tillis-r-42/

October 24-26
800 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%
Changes with October 7-11

In all models:
Someone else 4% (+1)
Not sure 5% (-7)

Bray (L) previously at 4%

Standard model:
Cunningham 49% (+3)
Tillis 42% (+6)

Strong Democratic turnout model:
Cunningham 51%
Tillis 40%

Strong Republican turnout model:
Cunningham 48%
Tillis 43%

Cooper 53-41, Biden 48-47 (standard)/Biden 50-46 (strong D)/Trump 49-47 (strong R).
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 09:24:06 AM »

Something tells me I don’t wanna see the Senate numbers here....
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17

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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 09:24:31 AM »

Trafalgar told us it was Tillis plus 2, they were wrong
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 09:25:03 AM »

They also found Greenfield up by 5 in Iowa. They should poll UTJC and UTDP’s races while they’re at it  Smiley

#CandidateQualityMatters
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2020, 09:31:57 AM »

So hot and fun!
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2020, 10:13:29 AM »

The lack of consistency in polling numbers for this race is quite remarkable. I don't see Cunningham winning by this margin, though given all the data we have, I think I'd rather be him than Tillis.
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2020, 10:19:25 AM »

Tillis not even passing 43% in the strong Republican model is quite something.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2020, 10:39:13 AM »

Gotta wonder if Trump wins narrowly if Cunningham could still win from folks living this race blank because they don't like Tillis.
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2020, 10:44:58 AM »

With Scott Rasmussen and Civitas both showing Cunningham ahead by at least a few points a week before the election, and Tillis at 42-43, hard for me to believe this race isn't over.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2020, 11:22:23 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by RMG Research on 2020-10-26

Summary: D: 49%, R: 42%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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